NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	100		Excitement	8.8 [151]		MVP	Jerry Stackhouse (WAS): +35.2%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	7.5 [90]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -15.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.48,0.39,0.35	0.15	0.20	0.01	21	70%	0.42	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.13
Tyronn Lue	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.02	-0.09	0.09	-0.03	18	46%	0.08	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.08
Christian Laettner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	78%	0.02	1	-0.05	5	60%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	0	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Brendan Haywood	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.06
Larry Hughes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	46%	-0.03	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.09	-0.03	1	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	6	69%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	82%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	5	71%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.08
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	19	44%	-0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.04,-0.16	-0.16	0.02	-0.17	0.01	23	55%	-0.05	2	-0.11	9	89%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	30.4	15.7	26.3	2.5	34.7	135.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +17.0%

WAS +10.8%

WAS +0.3%

WAS +18.8%

WAS +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BOS	NBA	WAS	BOS	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.5	104.2	99.0	101.6
season	16.5	15.6		100.9	99.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.6	15.3	15.0	13.8	14.9
BOS	15.7	14.0	17.7	13.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	16	17	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.46	11	-6	17	12.2	15.5	-3.28	13.2	15.5	-2.32
Larry Hughes	85	84	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.52	7	-2	9	15.0	14.0	1.04	15.4	13.2	2.19
Jerry Stackhouse	87	88	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.30	13	-8	21	14.4	19.6	-5.12	15.3	12.2	3.09
Christian Laettner	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	15.3	13.5	1.79	15.2	14.4	0.80
Michael Jordan	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-1	7	15.1	14.1	1.08	15.3	14.1	1.22
Bobby Simmons	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	5	-5	0.0	14.9	-14.92	0.0	15.2	-15.24
Bryon Russell	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	15.2	14.9	0.27	17.5	14.9	2.58
Etan Thomas	26	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	9	-13	15.0	14.9	0.11	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Brendan Haywood	33	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	7	-9	16.6	14.0	2.62	16.0	14.6	1.42
Kwame Brown	39	40	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.08	-1	6	-7	14.0	15.5	-1.50	14.9	15.2	-0.23
Tyronn Lue	35	34	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	-0.11	-11	16	-27	15.1	14.8	0.22	13.6	15.9	-2.27

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	12.0	15.4	-3.40	15.1	14.9	0.21
Shammond Williams	53	52	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.2	15.8	-1.62
Vin Baker	35	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.0	0.23	13.7	15.6	-1.83
Walter McCarty	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	3	-11	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.5	15.1	-0.64
Tony Delk	69	69	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.7	16.1	-1.43	15.1	14.4	0.71
Tony Battie	61	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	15.0	15.2	-0.23	15.6	13.7	1.83
Eric Williams	52	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	15.6	14.5	1.16	15.3	14.4	0.91
Antoine Walker	86	85	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-4	3	14.8	17.9	-3.14	15.1	13.5	1.65
Paul Pierce	87	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	0	-5	15.4	12.0	3.40	14.9	15.1	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.66,0.62,0.46,0.43,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 90, TOR 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.67,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.69,0	89.7%
DAL 115, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.46,0.45,0.74,0	89.4%
POR 81, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.81,0.87,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.53,0	89.0%