NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	95		Excitement	4.4 [921]		MVP	Emanual Davis (ATL): +10.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Comeback	2.1 [769]		LVP	Dion Glover (ATL): -11.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Emanual Davis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	-0.00	0.00	8	87%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	19	55%	0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	9	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.21	-0.02	-0.11	15	24%	-0.09	3	-0.03	4	50%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.03	13	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	17	58%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.10	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Igor Rakocevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	5	56%	-0.00	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	3	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	16	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	30.0	16.5	22.5	1.7	30.0	125.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.9%

MIN +7.3%

MIN +12.5%

MIN +12.2%

ATL -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.2	14.9	15.5	105.6	127.0	101.6
season	15.1	14.9		99.5	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.7		102.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.8	17.8	17.6	15.9	17.2
MIN	13.5	18.2	14.5	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-24	30	10.3	17.7	-7.39	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Darvin Ham	22	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-23	28	17.1	17.3	-0.19	14.9	15.0	-0.07
Theo Ratliff	52	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-13	8	17.2	17.2	-0.01	15.0	14.8	0.27
Alan Henderson	40	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.05	-9	-9	0	17.0	17.4	-0.38	15.3	14.6	0.67
Emanual Davis	39	40	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-6	-6	18.3	16.5	1.81	14.6	15.2	-0.51
Dion Glover	70	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-9	0	16.4	20.2	-3.88	15.5	13.0	2.53
Nazr Mohammed	23	21	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	-8	-2	16.9	17.3	-0.43	13.3	15.4	-2.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	76	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	1	-20	17.7	14.9	2.81	15.0	14.7	0.30
Jason Terry	59	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	0	-18	18.3	15.2	3.06	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Glenn Robinson	63	60	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	1	-20	17.0	17.8	-0.78	15.2	14.4	0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	68	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.25	29	-11	40	14.9	14.9	0.04	18.1	14.3	3.71
Gary Trent	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	15	-12	16.0	14.2	1.83	14.8	18.9	-4.16
Rasho Nesterovic	55	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.18	18	0	18	15.5	14.0	1.51	17.2	17.3	-0.16
Troy Hudson	49	52	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.19	16	2	14	16.4	13.1	3.37	17.1	17.4	-0.32
Kendall Gill	60	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.11	11	7	4	15.9	13.0	2.92	16.8	18.2	-1.36
Rod Strickland	34	33	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.02	8	10	-2	12.8	16.3	-3.51	18.9	16.2	2.69
Anthony Peeler	42	40	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	16	-14	13.6	16.1	-2.58	17.3	17.2	0.07
Marc Jackson	27	27	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	12	-6	13.8	15.4	-1.66	18.9	16.5	2.37
Joe Smith	53	54	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.30	15	3	12	14.2	16.0	-1.84	19.1	14.5	4.56
Igor Rakocevic	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	14.9	14.9	-0.08	10.3	17.7	-7.39
Loren Woods	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	14.9	14.9	-0.08	10.3	17.7	-7.39
Reggie Slater	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	24	-30	14.8	14.9	-0.11	7.4	17.8	-10.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 92, SEA 105	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
MIL 78, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CLE 99, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.81,0.76,0.85,0.75,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%