NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	4.3 [950]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +15.8%
Detroit Pistons	91		Comeback	1.3 [978]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -16.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	60%	0.07	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	60%	0.03	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	-0.04	14	40%	-0.02	6	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.02	-0.02	7	33%	-0.07	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.02	26	57%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	64%	0.15	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	64%	0.00	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.01	-0.04	5	25%	-0.10	4	-0.06	6	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	30.4	15.8	25.1	1.8	29.4	129.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +21.9%

DET +0.1%

DET +0.8%

DET +27.3%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.3	15.4	15.5	87.9	100.0	101.6
season	15.1	16.8		99.5	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	15.0	14.7	19.3	16.3
DET	14.2	15.6	17.4	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Emanual Davis	26	27	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.26	16	-27	43	16.6	16.2	0.45	17.0	14.7	2.34
Darvin Ham	16	18	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.24	13	-24	37	19.2	15.7	3.51	16.6	15.0	1.57
Nazr Mohammed	26	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-19	27	16.3	16.3	0.02	16.0	15.1	0.84
Alan Henderson	27	28	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-14	17	17.8	15.7	2.11	15.9	15.1	0.73
Ira Newble	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-7	3	16.1	16.5	-0.42	15.5	15.1	0.42
Dion Glover	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-7	3	16.2	16.4	-0.24	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Theo Ratliff	49	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	7	-25	15.8	16.8	-1.00	15.4	15.3	0.12
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.09	-18	7	-25	16.3	16.5	-0.24	15.1	16.4	-1.26
Glenn Robinson	75	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.06	-24	13	-37	15.7	19.2	-3.51	15.0	16.6	-1.57
Jason Terry	65	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	0.08	-27	16	-43	16.2	16.6	-0.45	14.7	17.0	-2.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	89	89	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-3	17	15.1	25.0	-9.87	16.2	20.0	-3.79
Richard Hamilton	71	70	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.06	17	-6	23	15.4	15.3	0.07	15.5	19.0	-3.58
Clifford Robinson	73	72	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	15.9	13.2	2.65	16.0	17.4	-1.35
Chauncey Billups	41	42	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	15.5	15.2	0.34	15.0	17.4	-2.45
Corliss Williamson	47	48	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.14	4	7	-3	14.6	16.1	-1.52	16.8	15.8	1.00
Michael Curry	38	38	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.04	7	4	3	15.7	15.1	0.62	15.7	16.7	-1.01
Chucky Atkins	50	49	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	9	-7	15.2	15.5	-0.34	17.4	15.0	2.45
Jon Barry	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	13	-15	15.3	15.4	-0.06	16.9	16.0	0.90
Mehmet Okur	5	5	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	14	-17	14.4	15.4	-1.01	24.4	15.8	8.57
Zeljko Rebraca	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.02	-2	13	-15	15.9	15.3	0.65	18.5	16.0	2.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 87, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	95.9%
MIA 81, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%
CHI 93, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.88,0.91,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%