NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	70		Excitement	2.0 [1257]		MVP	Jacque Vaughn (ORL): +3.7%
Indiana Pacers	106		Comeback	1.0 [988]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -13.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.00	7	57%	-0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.13	0.00	-0.13	6	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	8	62%	0.00
Jeryl Sasser	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.10	4	33%	-0.01	3	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Pat Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.16	0.00	-0.15	10	31%	0.01	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.05	10	32%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.19	0.00	-0.06	19	33%	-0.08	5	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	16	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	5	56%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	7	43%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	43%	0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	9	26%	-0.03	1	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	27.2	15.6	26.4	2.6	29.0	127.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.7%

IND +9.2%

IND +10.4%

IND +5.9%

ORL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	IND	NBA	ORL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.5	72.2	109.3	101.6
season	14.6	15.4		102.7	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		99.2	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.2	15.2	13.2	16.2	15.3
IND	9.8	19.0	17.4	12.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olumide Oyedeji	25	25	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.29	-10	-26	16	16.2	15.0	1.19	12.6	15.0	-2.39
Jeryl Sasser	31	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.28	-12	-24	12	15.9	15.0	0.87	14.5	14.4	0.06
Ryan Humphrey	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.26	-12	-24	12	15.7	14.9	0.74	14.7	14.1	0.60
Pat Burke	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.34	-15	-21	6	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.9	14.9	-0.96
Andrew DeClercq	10	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-33	30	17.0	15.1	1.92	19.0	13.8	5.17
Jacque Vaughn	46	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.28	-14	-22	8	15.6	15.0	0.63	15.2	13.6	1.64
Shawn Kemp	45	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.25	-20	-16	-4	14.5	15.9	-1.43	13.2	15.4	-2.24
Darrell Armstrong	49	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.30	-22	-14	-8	14.9	15.6	-0.69	13.0	15.7	-2.77
Pat Garrity	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.25	-23	-13	-10	15.0	15.8	-0.79	15.8	12.0	3.77
Tracy McGrady	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.30	-25	-11	-14	15.3	15.3	0.01	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Mike Miller	68	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.25	-24	-12	-12	15.0	15.9	-0.83	14.8	13.6	1.22

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	50	52	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	12	12	14.9	13.9	1.05	15.6	14.9	0.73
Brad Miller	51	52	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.28	24	12	12	13.1	15.9	-2.85	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Jamaal Tinsley	57	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.27	22	14	8	13.6	15.6	-2.06	14.8	16.0	-1.27
Al Harrington	42	44	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.33	23	13	10	13.7	15.0	-1.27	15.5	15.1	0.41
Metta World Peace	44	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.25	19	17	2	16.0	13.1	2.86	15.2	15.4	-0.19
Ron Mercer	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	23	-10	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.3	15.2	0.09
Jonathan Bender	55	53	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.22	13	23	-10	15.0	13.7	1.27	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Jeff Foster	26	25	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	31	-26	18.5	12.9	5.58	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Austin Croshere	44	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.29	12	24	-12	13.9	14.8	-0.92	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Erick Strickland	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.31	11	25	-14	13.9	14.7	-0.76	15.5	15.2	0.31
Fred Jones	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.20	7	29	-22	12.9	14.9	-1.97	16.0	15.1	0.93
Primoz Brezec	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	29	-22	12.5	14.9	-2.35	16.7	14.9	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, ORL 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.2%
SEA 78, SAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
SEA 116, DEN 168	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%