NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	72		Excitement	3.0 [1154]		MVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): +5.8%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	1.6 [1090]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -10.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.13	0.00	-0.14	6	21%	0.00	3	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	11	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.21	0.01	-0.11	21	35%	-0.04	5	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	15	32%	-0.09	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	8	80%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	3	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	19	46%	-0.00	5	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.02	16	54%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	19	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.5	28.8	13.0	30.2	1.7	26.2	125.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.8%

DAL +11.0%

DAL +8.2%

DAL +4.7%

LAL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	15.5	69.2	95.1	101.6
season	15.4	15.1		105.0	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.1		102.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	17.0	14.5	10.8	14.3
DAL	13.1	11.8	13.7	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samaki Walker	46	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-22	18	15.5	13.4	2.09	13.3	13.7	-0.36
Jannero Pargo	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-22	18	12.4	15.2	-2.74	14.6	13.0	1.66
Tracy Murray	29	31	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	-17	8	12.7	14.9	-2.22	14.9	12.9	2.00
Slava Medvedenko	37	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.18	-13	-13	0	11.8	15.7	-3.89	14.8	12.8	2.07
Kareem Rush	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-14	2	12.4	16.2	-3.80	13.3	13.8	-0.48
Rick Fox	89	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-13	0	13.7	18.1	-4.41	13.2	15.3	-2.11
Derek Fisher	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.22	-18	-8	-10	15.9	12.5	3.36	12.8	14.3	-1.47
Brian Shaw	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.08	-16	-10	-6	13.5	15.2	-1.70	13.5	13.5	0.03
Kobe Bryant	69	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.20	-20	-6	-14	15.9	11.0	4.91	13.0	14.4	-1.40
Robert Horry	57	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.20	-21	-5	-16	16.9	11.2	5.69	13.3	13.8	-0.47

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	5	16	13.5	13.6	-0.07	15.9	10.4	5.56
Walt Williams	50	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	11	4	13.8	13.3	0.56	14.5	14.1	0.34
Michael Finley	73	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	7	12	13.3	14.1	-0.75	14.6	13.5	1.07
Steve Nash	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.18	17	9	8	13.1	14.3	-1.16	15.5	12.2	3.29
Raja Bell	35	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	12	2	12.9	13.9	-0.94	13.3	14.8	-1.43
Eduardo Najera	56	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	16	-6	13.1	14.0	-0.86	12.6	16.1	-3.51
Shawn Bradley	59	60	0.23	0.28	-0.05	-0.21	15	11	4	14.4	12.3	2.08	15.1	13.1	2.00
Avery Johnson	39	40	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	17	-8	13.9	13.3	0.58	12.2	15.6	-3.43
Adrian Griffin	45	48	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	20	-14	13.4	13.6	-0.20	15.0	13.7	1.36
Mark Strickland	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	14.2	13.5	0.74	9.2	14.8	-5.63
Adam Harrington	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	24	-22	14.1	13.5	0.62	8.9	14.9	-6.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 83, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.78,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DEN 91, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAC 67, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%