NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	1.9 [1260]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +13.5%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.2 [1184]		LVP	Michael Bradley (TOR): -6.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	14	57%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Chris Jefferies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	3	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	4	83%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	0.00	0.09	8	77%	-0.03	3	-0.02	6	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	0.00	0.07	14	61%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	-0.08	7	35%	-0.02	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Michael Bradley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.20	0.01	0.07	15	82%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	71%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.08	7	44%	0.02	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	7	65%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	7	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	2	60%	0.02	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	5	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	12	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.6	17.5	21.8	1.8	27.4	121.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +25.2%

ATL +2.8%

ATL +4.6%

ATL +13.0%

ATL +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.5	97.9	124.5	101.6
season	16.2	15.1		98.8	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	17.7	15.8	15.1	12.9	15.4
ATL	12.3	17.0	16.2	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	23	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-29	33	11.5	16.6	-5.07	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Jelani McCoy	40	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-26	27	14.0	16.3	-2.26	15.7	15.0	0.72
Greg Foster	43	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.21	-13	-12	-1	16.0	14.8	1.15	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Michael Bradley	47	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-18	11	14.8	15.9	-1.09	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Jerome Williams	61	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.26	-20	-5	-15	16.9	12.6	4.28	16.2	13.6	2.61
Alvin Williams	66	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.33	-24	-1	-23	16.6	12.3	4.31	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Morris Peterson	79	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-11	-3	15.1	16.9	-1.80	14.9	17.6	-2.77
Voshon Lenard	57	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	-1	-23	14.2	17.1	-2.85	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Antonio Davis	54	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.36	-28	3	-31	16.3	14.1	2.13	16.0	14.3	1.67

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	61	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.29	26	-1	27	14.5	16.7	-2.22	16.2	13.9	2.30
Dion Glover	51	51	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.11	18	7	11	14.6	16.1	-1.49	14.6	16.2	-1.58
Darvin Ham	37	38	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	8	9	14.9	15.6	-0.70	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Emanual Davis	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	11	3	15.9	14.9	1.07	14.6	15.8	-1.20
Alan Henderson	42	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.22	17	8	9	14.7	15.7	-1.04	16.7	14.2	2.54
Jason Terry	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	15	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.58	16.6	14.1	2.57
Amal McCaskill	37	35	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	19	-13	16.0	14.8	1.22	13.7	16.3	-2.65
Glenn Robinson	53	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.20	13	12	1	16.0	14.4	1.63	15.9	14.7	1.24
Ira Newble	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.13	7	18	-11	16.1	14.6	1.49	16.2	14.6	1.58
Theo Ratliff	32	33	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	25	-25	15.9	15.0	0.89	16.7	14.6	2.12
Chris Crawford	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	24	-23	16.4	15.1	1.29	12.3	15.8	-3.49
Dan Dickau	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	29	-33	15.4	15.2	0.21	10.6	16.6	-5.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 78, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
SEA 112, BOS 126	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHA 80, MEM 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%