NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	82		Excitement	7.5 [307]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +13.0%
Toronto Raptors	78		Comeback	2.0 [522]		LVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): -29.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.01	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Harpring	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.01	0.02	-0.04	17	59%	0.12	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.32,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06	-0.18	0.09	-0.02	20	33%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.07
Calbert Cheaney	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	17	51%	-0.03	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	14	47%	-0.07	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.08
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29	-0.29	-0.16	-0.15	-0.01	11	29%	-0.11	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.7	24.8	15.4	28.6	1.6	35.0	130.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +62.4%

TOR -29.0%

UTA +7.0%

UTA +10.2%

TOR -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.5	90.1	84.8	101.6
season	16.3	16.2		103.1	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.1	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.7	15.9	15.6	14.4	15.4
TOR	15.7	17.6	13.8	17.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	68	67	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.25	22	-18	40	14.9	16.7	-1.80	16.7	14.3	2.47
John Stockton	58	59	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-3	10	14.6	16.8	-2.14	16.7	14.9	1.82
Matt Harpring	75	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	0	4	15.5	14.7	0.78	16.3	14.9	1.38
Calbert Cheaney	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.49	0	4	-4	15.7	13.9	1.85	15.8	17.2	-1.42
Carlos Arroyo	21	21	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.11	15	-11	26	13.8	15.9	-2.06	17.8	15.6	2.18
Scott Padgett	25	26	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.09	9	-5	14	15.1	15.5	-0.44	16.4	16.0	0.43
Karl Malone	71	72	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.48	-11	15	-26	15.5	14.9	0.64	15.6	17.8	-2.20
Mark Jackson	39	39	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	12	-20	16.5	14.6	1.87	14.9	16.9	-2.05
Jarron Collins	23	25	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.13	-18	22	-40	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.3	16.7	-2.47

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Bradley	20	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-5	6	15.5	16.2	-0.67	16.2	15.2	1.03
Jelani McCoy	43	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-11	18	16.7	15.6	1.08	15.8	15.1	0.68
Lindsey Hunter	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.1	-0.37	16.0	15.2	0.76
Greg Foster	17	17	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	4	-12	17.7	15.7	2.00	15.9	15.3	0.67
Antonio Davis	75	74	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	15.7	17.7	-2.00	15.3	15.9	-0.67
Jerome Williams	62	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-2	0	15.0	18.4	-3.45	14.8	16.6	-1.80
Morris Peterson	59	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.39	3	-7	10	16.2	15.8	0.45	16.0	14.3	1.71
Chris Jefferies	12	12	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	9	-22	19.2	15.6	3.65	13.6	15.7	-2.09
Alvin Williams	83	82	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-7	10	15.8	18.2	-2.38	15.4	15.3	0.07
Voshon Lenard	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	5	-14	16.5	14.5	2.01	15.1	16.5	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 96, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.28,0.38,0.22,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.09,0	92.2%
SAS 90, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.23,0.01,0	92.1%
DET 100, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.3,0.43,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.15,0.09,0.02,0	91.4%