inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 86 Excitement2.0 [1256] MVPZeljko Rebraca (DET): +2.0%
Detroit Pistons 109 Comeback1.4 [1031] LVPJason Williams (MEM): -5.7%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0.020,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.00-0.00-0.021270%0.075-0.05683%0.01
Lorenzen Wright-0.010,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.000.01550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Earl Watson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01743%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Mike Batiste-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04420%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Brevin Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.000.000.02657%-0.011-0.0220%0.00
Wesley Person-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00533%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Michael Dickerson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.000.071564%-0.023-0.023100%0.00
Shane Battier-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01333%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.110.00-0.06830%-0.042-0.014100%0.01
Jason Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.03956%-0.013-0.0500%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.02681%0.042-0.02475%-0.00
Chucky Atkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01856%0.021-0.002100%0.00
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02844%0.0100.0020%-0.02
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.01250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.00-0.00-0.011557%0.042-0.031080%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.021258%0.033-0.022100%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.02765%0.021-0.02367%-0.01
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.043100%0.021-0.0100%0.00
Mehmet Okur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02460%0.0020.002100%0.00
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.083117%0.0000.0000%0.00
Corliss Williamson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.01-0.02643%0.012-0.032100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.829.315.725.32.527.2127.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +32.8%
DET +2.0%
DET +7.1%
DET +7.6%
DET +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDETNBAMEMDETNBA
this game14.615.315.588.7113.5101.6
season15.316.8101.8101.7
opponent15.615.297.8105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.415.912.813.614.6
DET17.113.615.415.215.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Watson3838-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-252714.015.0-1.0114.915.5-0.61
Mike Batiste2122-0.13-0.370.24-0.07-2-211913.015.0-1.9714.115.6-1.46
Gordan Giricek5151-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-181314.414.8-0.4915.315.20.07
Michael Dickerson88-0.16-0.340.170.07-8-15717.614.33.3117.215.12.17
Brevin Knight4039-0.21-0.290.080.12-11-12114.414.7-0.2315.215.3-0.18
Wesley Person4645-0.24-0.260.010.11-12-11-114.314.8-0.5414.416.0-1.62
Drew Gooden4949-0.26-0.24-0.020.21-16-7-914.214.9-0.6914.516.0-1.49
Jason Williams5757-0.29-0.21-0.080.06-12-11-114.714.40.2315.315.20.18
Shane Battier4342-0.30-0.20-0.090.17-16-7-914.814.40.3216.614.22.42
Lorenzen Wright6160-0.34-0.16-0.180.19-18-5-1315.712.72.9715.115.6-0.47
Pau Gasol7169-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-6-1114.614.7-0.0916.013.42.53

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zeljko Rebraca53540.420.080.35-0.162031715.914.51.4014.714.40.26
Ben Wallace67670.330.170.16-0.051310315.514.70.8214.914.00.90
Richard Hamilton62630.330.170.15-0.171761115.914.21.6814.614.60.04
Chauncey Billups44450.280.220.06-0.16158716.314.31.9915.014.20.77
Corliss Williamson26290.240.26-0.01-0.051013-314.015.7-1.6815.214.30.83
Clifford Robinson43450.240.26-0.01-0.20158714.815.7-0.8915.214.11.14
Michael Curry38380.230.27-0.04-0.151310316.614.42.2314.914.40.50
Chucky Atkins52520.220.28-0.06-0.02815-714.316.3-1.9914.215.0-0.77
Jon Barry48470.200.30-0.10-0.07914-514.316.2-1.9815.014.20.84
Mehmet Okur17170.000.50-0.50-0.03122-2113.915.5-1.6013.514.8-1.28
Tayshaun Prince16150.000.50-0.500.03-124-2514.515.4-0.9112.215.0-2.82
Hubert Davis14130.000.50-0.500.15-528-3315.115.3-0.2210.815.2-4.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 77, UTA 910.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.2%
NJN 78, MIA 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
DEN 100, MIN 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%