NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	2.1 [1237]		MVP	Jerome Williams (TOR): +5.0%
Toronto Raptors	101		Comeback	1.3 [851]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -8.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kerry Kittles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	41%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Donny Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	9	60%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Brandon Armstrong	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.00	0.07	11	59%	-0.04	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	57%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	8	12%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.00	0.10	7	73%	-0.04	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	86%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	41%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.02	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.12	-0.00	0.14	14	83%	0.03	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	24.3	16.4	23.0	2.0	26.3	117.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +38.2%

TOR +5.1%

TOR +4.7%

TOR +1.5%

TOR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.5	16.5	15.6	91.1	112.2	102.3
season	14.7	16.2		101.4	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.0		100.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.1	19.3	16.9	12.6	15.5
TOR	15.3	18.6	15.2	17.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	32	32	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.36	9	-28	37	15.6	15.4	0.21	17.2	16.1	1.15
Donny Marshall	22	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-22	25	14.0	16.0	-1.91	18.4	15.9	2.45
Richard Jefferson	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-15	11	16.4	14.8	1.63	16.8	16.3	0.59
Keith Van Horn	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.24	-13	-6	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.54	14.3	17.3	-2.96
Kerry Kittles	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.46	-22	3	-25	15.8	15.4	0.40	14.7	17.4	-2.74
Aaron Williams	37	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.49	-23	4	-27	16.2	15.0	1.19	15.7	17.1	-1.33
Jason Kidd	44	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.49	-24	5	-29	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.2	17.7	-2.58
Brandon Armstrong	29	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-13	7	15.1	15.7	-0.62	17.6	16.0	1.54
Kenyon Martin	40	40	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.49	-25	6	-31	16.0	15.0	1.01	15.5	17.3	-1.82
Anthony Johnson	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-24	29	15.4	15.6	-0.20	17.7	15.2	2.58
Jason Collins	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.43	4	-23	27	15.0	16.2	-1.19	17.1	15.7	1.33
Brian Scalabrine	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-20	21	15.2	16.0	-0.82	17.2	15.4	1.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.52	34	-15	49	16.1	17.1	-0.95	16.5	14.0	2.44
Jerome Williams	52	54	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.47	32	-13	45	16.1	17.1	-1.07	16.2	14.4	1.88
Alvin Williams	51	51	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.51	29	-10	39	15.7	17.6	-1.95	15.8	15.1	0.77
Keon Clark	63	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	-1	21	16.1	17.6	-1.49	15.6	15.1	0.50
Jermaine Jackson	45	44	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.40	-4	23	-27	17.5	15.5	2.04	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Morris Peterson	64	65	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.22	16	3	13	16.1	17.5	-1.34	15.6	15.1	0.57
Hakeem Olajuwon	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.42	-9	28	-37	17.1	16.0	1.17	14.7	16.1	-1.44
Dell Curry	44	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.38	-9	28	-37	17.1	15.9	1.18	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Michael Bradley	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	26	-33	17.7	16.2	1.44	13.1	16.1	-3.04
Derrick Dial	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.24	-7	26	-33	17.7	16.2	1.44	13.1	16.1	-3.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 89, BKN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 72, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
IND 80, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%