NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	88		Excitement	7.0 [432]		MVP	Danny Ferry (SAS): +9.3%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	4.9 [579]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -16.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ansu Sesay	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.00	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	11	37%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Brent Barry	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	21	53%	-0.01	4	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	6	36%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.16	-0.00	-0.15	0.01	10	58%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	12	74%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,0.04	0.04	-0.10	0.13	-0.01	6	17%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	38%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	26	49%	-0.03	6	-0.13	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.7	27.2	16.7	25.5	2.0	29.2	123.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +49.6%

SAS +2.0%

SEA -3.2%

SEA -1.7%

SAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAS	NBA	SEA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.6	96.7	98.9	102.3
season	16.0	15.8		106.3	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.3	18.9	15.8	17.2	16.1
SAS	13.8	17.1	16.2	15.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	41	44	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.27	15	-17	32	17.9	14.6	3.35	15.2	15.9	-0.65
Olumide Oyedeji	33	30	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-7	12	13.2	17.7	-4.51	17.4	14.7	2.74
Ansu Sesay	24	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-6	10	15.7	16.2	-0.46	18.1	14.8	3.34
Earl Watson	27	25	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	14.4	16.8	-2.44	18.6	14.4	4.14
Randy Livingston	9	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-2	2	15.7	16.1	-0.47	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Shammond Williams	0	1	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-2	2	0.0	16.1	-16.09	0.0	15.7	-15.73
Vin Baker	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	5	-12	15.6	17.1	-1.52	16.5	13.6	2.92
Gary Payton	84	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-4	6	16.2	14.4	1.80	15.3	18.2	-2.95
Desmond Mason	67	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	4	-10	16.2	15.7	0.46	14.8	18.1	-3.34
Brent Barry	62	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.33	-7	5	-12	16.7	14.8	1.95	14.8	17.7	-2.92
Predrag Drobnjak	45	46	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	15	-32	17.2	15.0	2.16	13.7	17.4	-3.68

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	88	88	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.41	9	-7	16	15.4	21.0	-5.62	16.1	17.0	-0.94
Steven Smith	72	75	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.19	13	-11	24	15.8	14.6	1.24	15.3	19.9	-4.59
Bruce Bowen	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-4	10	14.9	17.6	-2.74	17.2	12.8	4.37
Tony Parker	51	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	-3	8	14.6	16.7	-2.12	16.6	15.4	1.27
David Robinson	66	66	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	0	2	15.4	15.9	-0.50	16.4	15.4	1.00
Antonio Daniels	43	42	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.32	-5	7	-12	16.3	14.9	1.49	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Malik Rose	28	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.24	-7	9	-16	16.5	15.2	1.31	15.5	16.3	-0.80
Jason Hart	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	4	-6	19.2	15.0	4.25	11.9	16.7	-4.80
Danny Ferry	26	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	13	-24	15.4	15.6	-0.19	18.4	15.2	3.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.58,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.67,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 95, CLE 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.77,0.85,1	91.6%
IND 82, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.91,0.73,1	89.9%
SAC 98, POR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,0.98,1	89.2%