inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 81 Excitement2.6 [1199] MVPJonathan Bender (IND): +7.8%
Indiana Pacers 100 Comeback1.2 [831] LVPAustin Croshere (IND): -6.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie House0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.051030%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04520%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Gatling0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.00362%0.001-0.00250%-0.01
Sean Marks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Malik Allen0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01267%0.0000.002100%0.00
Vladimir Stepania-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.00562%-0.0010.00367%-0.01
LaPhonso Ellis-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03558%-0.013-0.002100%0.01
Kendall Gill-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.01743%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Brian Grant-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.01-0.03944%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Alonzo Mourning-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.01657%0.013-0.062100%0.00
Eddie Jones-0.060,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.00-0.001347%-0.022-0.03667%-0.01
Rod Strickland-0.060,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01948%-0.022-0.04367%-0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.01-0.06779%0.124-0.041090%0.03
Metta World Peace0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.011860%0.052-0.01475%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.001256%0.022-0.011100%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04757%0.002-0.009100%0.02
Primoz Brezec0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0620%0.0000.0020%0.00
Bruno Sundov0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00367%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01350%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.000.01753%0.011-0.0210%-0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03644%-0.001-0.01475%0.00
Austin Croshere0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.000.00744%-0.042-0.034100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.534.415.522.42.426.3127.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +14.2%
IND +17.9%
IND +16.3%
IND +3.1%
MIA -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game14.517.315.689.0111.1102.3
season16.515.396.6101.6
opponent15.415.8100.998.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.215.014.714.114.5
IND16.415.020.617.817.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks890.00-0.500.50-0.269-283714.514.5-0.0418.017.20.78
Malik Allen890.00-0.500.50-0.269-283714.514.5-0.0418.017.20.78
Vladimir Stepania2930-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-161313.714.9-1.2018.017.01.00
Anthony Carter2930-0.06-0.440.380.03-3-161313.714.9-1.2018.017.01.00
Kendall Gill3835-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-151114.214.8-0.5216.717.7-0.91
Chris Gatling3635-0.16-0.340.170.16-11-8-313.715.1-1.4017.217.3-0.12
Eddie House5354-0.20-0.300.10-0.06-5-14914.015.3-1.3318.315.92.40
Rod Strickland5049-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-12-7-514.914.10.8017.017.7-0.70
Alonzo Mourning4845-0.34-0.16-0.190.01-12-7-515.713.32.3916.817.8-0.96
Brian Grant5050-0.39-0.11-0.290.28-234-2714.914.10.8516.917.8-0.94
Eddie Jones5655-0.41-0.09-0.320.03-15-4-1115.413.12.3117.317.3-0.07
LaPhonso Ellis5049-0.41-0.09-0.320.32-256-3114.115.1-0.9716.817.9-1.02

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace85870.480.010.47-0.041811717.121.2-4.1314.614.20.30
Kevin Ollie61590.400.100.30-0.131811717.417.00.3913.915.6-1.68
Brad Miller54550.380.120.25-0.091631317.117.6-0.4714.814.10.71
Jonathan Bender48470.360.140.22-0.081541116.917.8-0.8714.614.40.21
Austin Croshere40390.320.180.14-0.2720-12116.518.0-1.4914.314.7-0.36
Jeff Foster60620.300.200.110.01109117.516.90.6514.414.8-0.37
Reggie Miller47480.150.34-0.190.01514-918.116.41.7314.414.7-0.26
Jamaal Tinsley29320.100.40-0.300.07118-1717.017.4-0.3915.613.91.68
Primoz Brezec13130.000.50-0.500.12-423-2718.517.11.3614.514.5-0.00
Bruno Sundov13130.000.50-0.500.12-423-2718.517.11.3614.514.5-0.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 80, MEM 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
PHX 65, LAL 870.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
NYK 109, IND 1230.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,197.1%