NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	6.4 [527]		MVP	Rodney Buford (MEM): +25.7%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	125.6 [2]		LVP	Will Solomon (MEM): -25.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26	0.06	0.21	0.02	13	65%	0.27	1	-0.01	5	60%	0.03
Lorenzen Wright	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.04	0.13	0.03	15	60%	0.16	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04
Stromile Swift	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	15	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	9	43%	-0.00	4	-0.05	5	80%	0.05
Grant Long	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	47%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Will Solomon	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.13,-0.25	-0.04	-0.23	-0.02	9	53%	0.03	3	-0.29	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	22	68%	0.16	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	8	56%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	7	60%	-0.02	2	-0.01	6	100%	0.08
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	-0.03	21	50%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24	-0.24	-0.02	-0.21	0.02	12	54%	-0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.6	24.5	14.7	28.1	2.3	40.4	136.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +62.0%

MEM +0.6%

MEM +10.8%

POR -23.1%

POR -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.2	15.6	107.3	106.4	102.3
season	15.7	16.0		96.0	105.0
opponent	15.6	15.2		102.2	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	17.0	15.2	13.8	15.2
POR	15.3	14.3	14.1	16.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Buford	58	59	0.91	-0.41	1.33	0.15	26	-23	49	14.7	15.9	-1.22	16.0	13.7	2.30
Will Solomon	44	43	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.22	23	-20	43	15.1	15.2	-0.16	17.0	13.6	3.35
Lorenzen Wright	56	53	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-13	29	15.2	15.0	0.18	16.5	13.5	2.97
Stromile Swift	59	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-10	23	15.7	14.3	1.35	16.4	13.3	3.05
Shane Battier	79	77	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.60	-6	9	-15	15.8	12.2	3.62	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Pau Gasol	36	36	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.05	-10	13	-23	14.7	15.4	-0.69	13.9	15.9	-2.06
Grant Long	56	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.16	-14	17	-31	14.5	16.1	-1.62	13.9	16.8	-2.90
Tony Massenburg	40	40	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.14	-14	17	-31	15.0	15.2	-0.18	13.8	16.2	-2.41
Jason Williams	52	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.27	-19	22	-41	15.2	15.1	0.16	13.4	17.3	-3.93

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Brunson	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-7	11	14.3	15.2	-0.88	19.3	14.9	4.46
Chris Dudley	22	22	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.24	-7	4	-11	17.7	14.4	3.29	16.7	14.7	1.98
Derek Anderson	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.47	-18	15	-33	15.8	14.8	0.99	15.9	14.8	1.15
Ruben Patterson	31	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	8	-19	14.9	15.3	-0.33	16.2	14.5	1.69
Steve Kerr	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	15.3	15.1	0.13	10.9	15.7	-4.75
Scottie Pippen	71	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.78	15	-18	33	14.9	15.8	-0.88	14.9	16.0	-1.11
Bonzi Wells	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.47	2	-5	7	15.2	14.8	0.36	15.2	14.7	0.52
Dale Davis	68	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.56	2	-5	7	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Damon Stoudamire	80	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	0	-3	14.7	17.5	-2.75	15.0	15.9	-0.82
Shawn Kemp	68	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.66	4	-7	11	14.6	16.6	-1.96	14.5	17.0	-2.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.86,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, WAS 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.76,0.37,0.67,0.42,0	90.6%
GSW 106, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	89.8%
UTA 96, CHA 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.72,0	89.1%