NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Excitement	7.2 [387]		MVP	Dan Majerle (PHX): +23.8%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.2 [904]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): -11.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Doleac	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.04	0.00	10	70%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	15	70%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.07	0.01	13	58%	0.09	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Jumaine Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.01	7	64%	0.15	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryant Stith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	7	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Wesley Person	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	17	39%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.16	0.01	6	79%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.11	0.00	23	59%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.08	0.02	13	74%	0.22	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	-0.03	5	-0.09	8	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	24.4	15.4	22.5	2.4	35.5	127.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +22.7%

PHX +12.4%

PHX +31.7%

CLE -1.6%

CLE -15.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	16.2	15.6	106.7	110.9	102.3
season	15.8	15.1		102.6	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.0	16.3	14.8	14.7	15.5
PHX	13.4	16.4	18.8	16.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-14	22	14.8	16.2	-1.38	17.8	14.3	3.49
Chris Mihm	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-5	4	17.6	14.2	3.40	17.8	15.3	2.45
Brian Skinner	22	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	15.4	15.5	-0.06	13.2	17.1	-3.89
Bryant Stith	18	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	16.5	15.2	1.31	15.1	16.4	-1.33
Trajan Langdon	24	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	18.1	14.5	3.64	18.1	15.5	2.60
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	20	21	-0.23	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	6	-18	15.6	15.4	0.19	13.3	17.0	-3.76
Andre Miller	84	84	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.0	21.2	-6.12	16.2	16.2	-0.07
Wesley Person	71	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-8	10	15.2	16.6	-1.42	15.7	18.1	-2.39
Jumaine Jones	47	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	-1	-4	15.0	16.0	-1.00	16.9	15.4	1.48
Ricky Davis	81	83	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.31	-9	3	-12	14.9	20.7	-5.79	15.8	19.8	-3.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephon Marbury	84	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	-2	10	16.1	17.4	-1.30	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Alton Ford	27	26	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.13	12	-6	18	18.0	15.4	2.62	16.5	15.0	1.47
Joe Johnson	55	53	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	0	6	15.3	17.5	-2.27	14.6	16.7	-2.12
Dan Majerle	37	34	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.34	3	3	0	15.7	16.5	-0.76	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Shawn Marion	85	84	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	3	0	16.0	19.0	-3.05	15.2	19.3	-4.15
Jake Tsakalidis	65	64	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	-3	12	16.0	16.6	-0.63	15.2	16.0	-0.77
Milt Palacio	15	14	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	5	-4	18.1	15.8	2.33	18.2	14.9	3.27
Anfernee Hardaway	37	37	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	9	-12	17.5	15.3	2.27	16.7	14.6	2.12
Bo Outlaw	50	51	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	15.6	16.9	-1.32	15.5	15.5	-0.01
Jake Voskuhl	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	12	-18	18.0	16.1	1.92	15.8	15.4	0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.75,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 87, PHI 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.93,1	93.2%
NJN 78, SAS 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	92.3%
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	92.2%