NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	7.0 [419]		MVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): +13.4%
New Jersey Nets	116		Comeback	3.4 [686]		LVP	Nazr Mohammed (ATL): -21.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	21	61%	0.20	6	-0.18	7	86%	0.12
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	16	44%	-0.02	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	11	46%	-0.09	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.05

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.02	-0.09	14	57%	0.10	2	0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	15	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.07	0.00	20	54%	0.19	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.06
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	9	70%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.0	2.6	26.3	14.4	23.2	2.0	29.4	117.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +53.6%

ATL -24.0%

ATL -2.6%

NJN +23.5%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NJN	NBA	ATL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.6	13.9	15.6	112.1	126.1	102.3
season	15.5	14.7		99.7	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.2		98.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.7	18.2	18.0	16.6	17.6
NJN	14.3	13.9	13.3	14.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	53	53	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.11	-3	-11	8	16.8	18.7	-1.83	14.2	13.4	0.81
Hanno Mottola	22	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-15	16	17.4	17.7	-0.24	12.7	14.3	-1.60
Ira Newble	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	-4	-6	18.1	16.7	1.40	14.2	13.4	0.79
Nazr Mohammed	51	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-5	-4	17.5	17.7	-0.28	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-3	-8	17.7	17.1	0.60	14.4	10.9	3.51
Alan Henderson	31	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.7	17.5	0.18	14.0	13.9	0.11
Jason Terry	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	-4	-6	17.4	18.9	-1.47	14.1	12.5	1.64
Jacque Vaughn	39	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-11	8	17.9	17.3	0.62	13.4	14.3	-0.93
Toni Kukoc	45	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	2	-18	17.8	17.4	0.41	13.3	14.6	-1.32

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	45	45	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.09	22	-8	30	14.3	13.5	0.84	18.0	17.2	0.80
Todd MacCulloch	30	30	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-1	16	14.5	13.6	0.94	19.6	16.6	3.04
Kerry Kittles	80	79	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-4	22	14.2	11.9	2.28	18.0	15.0	2.99
Jason Kidd	83	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	1	12	14.0	13.0	1.00	17.6	17.9	-0.31
Kenyon Martin	78	79	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	14.1	13.1	0.98	17.6	17.7	-0.08
Donny Marshall	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	7.0	14.1	-7.13	12.5	17.7	-5.21
Brandon Armstrong	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	7.0	14.1	-7.13	12.5	17.7	-5.21
Brian Scalabrine	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	7.0	14.1	-7.13	12.5	17.7	-5.21
Anthony Johnson	18	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	16	-18	13.3	14.1	-0.78	16.6	17.8	-1.29
Jason Collins	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.03	-2	16	-18	12.9	14.1	-1.18	16.2	17.9	-1.71
Aaron Williams	53	53	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	11	-8	14.2	13.5	0.72	17.5	17.7	-0.20
Keith Van Horn	47	46	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	22	-30	13.7	14.1	-0.37	16.9	18.3	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	93.1%
ORL 109, WAS 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1	92.9%
SAC 94, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.91,1,1	92.8%