NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	7.1 [416]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +13.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	93		Comeback	2.3 [647]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -11.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	18	56%	0.12	4	-0.12	5	80%	-0.01
Terence Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Dan Langhi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	11	64%	0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Cuttino Mobley	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	20	50%	0.06	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	10	74%	0.17	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	18	65%	0.15	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Doug Overton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	43%	0.03	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	14	45%	0.04	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	10	36%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	5	42%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.5	25.2	15.8	27.2	2.6	39.4	134.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +15.9%

LAC +11.8%

LAC +24.8%

HOU -15.8%

LAC +13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	101.2	104.5	102.3
season	16.8	15.9		100.9	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		104.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.6	18.3	14.3	16.5	16.2
LAC	17.8	14.4	19.1	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	56	58	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-14	21	14.8	18.9	-4.15	18.1	14.6	3.44
Eddie Griffin	18	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-2	-3	17.1	16.0	1.09	15.1	17.3	-2.19
Kenny Thomas	36	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-4	1	16.7	15.8	0.95	15.7	17.8	-2.05
Kelvin Cato	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-6	5	15.3	16.9	-1.55	16.6	17.1	-0.58
Cuttino Mobley	75	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-8	9	15.6	20.7	-5.10	16.4	20.4	-3.96
Terence Morris	39	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-3	-1	16.6	15.8	0.77	18.2	15.8	2.38
Jason Collier	38	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	17.0	15.5	1.49	18.2	15.8	2.43
Steve Francis	77	80	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	16.1	17.6	-1.57	17.1	14.6	2.59
Dan Langhi	7	10	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	2	-11	20.9	15.8	5.08	16.4	16.9	-0.55
Moochie Norris	43	45	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	3	-13	17.4	15.0	2.47	15.4	18.5	-3.10

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	44	39	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.29	15	-8	23	14.3	19.4	-5.17	16.9	15.6	1.29
Darius Miles	52	48	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-5	17	15.4	19.0	-3.66	17.2	14.9	2.32
Jeff McInnis	78	75	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.24	7	0	7	17.4	13.2	4.23	15.7	19.8	-4.08
Elton Brand	82	78	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.30	5	2	3	17.3	12.3	4.99	16.2	16.1	0.06
Michael Olowokandi	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	17.3	15.3	1.97	16.3	15.8	0.49
Doug Overton	15	14	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	4	-1	11.8	17.9	-6.12	15.9	16.3	-0.32
Sean Rooks	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	11	-15	18.9	16.7	2.23	18.0	16.0	1.99
Eric Piatkowski	56	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	11	-15	18.2	14.7	3.53	16.1	16.5	-0.43
Tremaine Fowlkes	37	37	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.05	-5	12	-17	19.0	15.4	3.66	14.9	17.2	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.3,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.9,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	92.9%
MEM 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.72,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.69,0.78,0.96,0.92,1	92.2%
MIA 85, SEA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.66,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.97,0.99,1	92.1%