NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	5.0 [819]		MVP	Devean George (LAL): +16.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	117		Comeback	3.4 [1015]		LVP	Clar. Weatherspoon (NYK): -10.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	22	62%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	6	79%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Othella Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	72%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	19	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	9	59%	-0.04	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	5	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.08	0.00	11	71%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	21	66%	0.12	2	-0.04	19	53%	-0.05
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	14	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.2	17.8	27.1	2.7	34.3	139.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.5%

NYK -11.8%

LAL +19.7%

LAL +5.8%

LAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.8	15.6	113.2	128.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.3		99.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.6		99.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.6	15.0	18.0	14.8	15.8
LAL	14.4	17.7	15.5	15.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	10.0	15.9	-5.93	18.0	15.8	2.18
Felton Spencer	20	18	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-9	4	13.1	16.5	-3.40	16.1	15.8	0.33
Shandon Anderson	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-11	8	17.9	15.3	2.56	18.3	15.3	3.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	58	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-13	12	15.7	16.0	-0.36	15.7	16.1	-0.48
Mark Jackson	47	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-12	10	16.8	14.7	2.04	15.0	16.8	-1.83
Howard Eisley	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-2	-10	14.7	16.8	-2.04	16.8	15.0	1.83
Latrell Sprewell	82	83	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-7	0	15.9	14.9	1.01	15.8	16.7	-0.99
Othella Harrington	33	33	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-5	-4	16.4	15.5	0.88	16.3	15.6	0.72
Kurt Thomas	71	74	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	-1	-12	16.4	13.7	2.69	15.7	16.4	-0.70
Allan Houston	81	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	3	-20	15.4	19.0	-3.59	15.4	19.5	-4.10

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devean George	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.01	21	-7	28	16.1	15.4	0.74	14.8	17.2	-2.38
Kobe Bryant	84	85	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	2	10	15.3	22.1	-6.82	15.8	15.8	-0.03
Slava Medvedenko	26	28	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.00	15	-1	16	14.5	16.4	-1.88	15.1	16.1	-1.00
Derek Fisher	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	0	14	16.7	15.0	1.72	14.9	16.7	-1.84
Shaquille O'Neal	79	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	7	0	15.9	15.7	0.11	15.6	16.9	-1.25
Robert Horry	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	10	-6	15.8	15.9	-0.03	16.3	14.3	2.00
Lindsey Hunter	45	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	14	-14	15.0	16.7	-1.72	16.7	14.9	1.84
Mitch Richmond	7	6	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	12	-10	22.1	15.3	6.82	15.8	15.8	0.03
Mark Madsen	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.02	2	12	-10	19.7	15.4	4.24	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Rick Fox	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	21	-28	15.4	16.1	-0.74	17.2	14.8	2.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 70, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
BOS 101, WAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.61,0.7,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
PHI 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%