NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	110		Excitement	3.3 [1088]		MVP	Tony Delk (BOS): +8.4%
Boston Celtics	130		Comeback	1.0 [1053]		LVP	Troy Hudson (ORL): -9.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monty Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	63%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.01	0.07	13	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	7	69%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	11	43%	-0.06	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	7	81%	0.08	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	11	69%	0.08	2	-0.03	10	80%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	73%	0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.3	31.6	15.4	23.2	2.7	34.5	135.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +48.4%

ORL -1.5%

BOS +4.5%

ORL -1.9%

BOS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BOS	NBA	ORL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	15.6	107.8	125.0	102.3
season	14.6	15.0		104.6	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	13.5	16.6	12.8	14.3
BOS	11.4	14.2	13.4	16.0	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	38	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-22	24	13.9	14.5	-0.58	15.8	12.5	3.26
Steven Hunter	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-20	20	14.0	14.5	-0.43	16.4	11.9	4.43
Andrew DeClercq	44	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-24	28	13.6	14.8	-1.22	14.5	13.1	1.37
Don Reid	23	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-7	-6	13.9	14.4	-0.54	13.6	13.7	-0.17
Patrick Ewing	22	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-14	8	14.0	14.4	-0.42	11.4	14.3	-2.94
Monty Williams	50	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-16	12	13.2	15.4	-2.21	13.4	13.9	-0.49
Troy Hudson	61	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-14	8	14.6	13.8	0.76	14.7	12.3	2.40
Tracy McGrady	43	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.21	-17	-3	-14	15.5	13.4	2.16	12.8	14.3	-1.56
Pat Garrity	54	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.18	-19	-1	-18	14.8	13.7	1.13	13.0	14.6	-1.59
Darrell Armstrong	63	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	0	-20	14.6	13.8	0.75	12.6	15.6	-2.95
Mike Miller	71	74	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.12	-21	1	-22	14.4	14.0	0.41	12.8	15.8	-3.02

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	61	59	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	1	18	12.0	16.0	-3.95	14.7	13.7	1.01
Antoine Walker	62	62	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.28	25	-5	30	13.9	13.3	0.59	15.3	12.7	2.65
Paul Pierce	63	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.29	25	-5	30	13.1	14.6	-1.45	14.8	13.5	1.29
Kenny Anderson	74	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.24	22	-2	24	13.7	13.7	-0.07	14.5	13.8	0.69
Vitaly Potapenko	54	53	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.14	17	3	14	13.4	14.0	-0.57	15.0	13.5	1.45
Walter McCarty	59	57	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.02	4	16	-12	14.6	12.5	2.14	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Rodney Rogers	47	47	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	15	-10	13.5	13.8	-0.28	14.2	14.4	-0.17
Mark Blount	32	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	25	-30	13.0	14.0	-0.94	11.9	15.3	-3.37
Erick Strickland	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.16	-5	25	-30	15.1	12.6	2.44	12.9	15.4	-2.54
Eric Williams	11	11	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	21	-22	15.2	13.5	1.68	16.6	14.0	2.64
Kedrick Brown	12	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	26	-32	16.3	13.3	3.00	12.8	14.5	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.82,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
CLE 92, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHA 105, GSW 131	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%