inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 83 Excitement4.0 [1000] MVPTim Hardaway (DEN): +14.6%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback1.2 [999] LVPLorenzen Wright (MEM): -16.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pau Gasol0.030,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.020.01979%0.093-0.061593%0.03
Shane Battier0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.01-0.00-0.04759%0.092-0.07333%-0.01
Grant Long0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01583%0.084-0.072100%0.01
Stromile Swift-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00367%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Tony Massenburg-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Will Solomon-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.02731%-0.0710.0020%-0.02
Eddie Gill-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.00643%-0.013-0.072100%0.00
Rodney Buford-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.011231%-0.091-0.022100%-0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.050.011242%-0.112-0.05967%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.120.040.021181%0.182-0.035100%0.02
Juwan Howard0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011465%0.092-0.04989%0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01860%0.0310.00475%-0.01
Zendon Hamilton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.01650%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.00542%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Mengke Bateer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.02367%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Donnell Harvey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.01-0.04829%-0.011-0.031100%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02333%-0.032-0.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.031052%0.064-0.101100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.732.316.324.42.730.2133.8
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.7%
DEN +3.8%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +16.8%
MEM -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game17.115.215.692.2109.1102.3
season15.716.196.099.7
opponent15.215.2105.9103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.717.417.616.917.1
DEN11.516.913.720.115.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Solomon5050-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-182316.917.4-0.4316.313.72.58
Tony Massenburg1614-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-7117.417.10.3717.514.82.73
Stromile Swift3837-0.26-0.24-0.020.09-12-1-1117.616.80.7315.614.90.72
Lorenzen Wright5454-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-10716.717.7-0.9813.817.5-3.69
Grant Long5147-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-1-1117.516.60.8715.115.3-0.12
Rodney Buford5655-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-1-1117.316.80.5515.414.90.47
Pau Gasol6566-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.17-5-8317.516.21.2915.314.80.58
Shane Battier7574-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.25-6-7116.819.0-2.2415.215.4-0.18
Eddie Gill4543-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.05-141-1516.817.5-0.7114.316.1-1.86

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Bowen48490.57-0.070.65-0.1625-123713.017.9-4.9417.616.61.01
Juwan Howard64650.480.020.45-0.0819-62513.818.9-5.0517.416.50.85
Tim Hardaway47480.410.090.33-0.1118-52313.517.1-3.5917.816.41.46
Donnell Harvey50520.360.140.220.07103715.614.70.9216.817.6-0.77
Antonio McDyess37370.280.220.060.0485314.415.8-1.4317.916.61.29
James Posey44440.230.27-0.050.1149-517.313.14.1416.917.4-0.53
Calbert Cheaney65680.200.30-0.110.25-215-1715.215.10.1017.117.10.06
George McCloud33350.100.40-0.29-0.0149-516.114.71.3716.417.6-1.20
Voshon Lenard19190.000.50-0.500.03-114-1516.015.01.0116.517.3-0.77
Zendon Hamilton760.000.50-0.500.21-720-2724.314.49.8712.817.4-4.61
Mengke Bateer1315-0.050.55-0.60-0.02-114-1515.715.10.5716.917.2-0.32
Kenny Satterfield1312-0.080.58-0.670.27-1225-3721.314.17.1616.817.2-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 88, MIN 1070.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
ORL 90, TOR 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.4%
DET 107, GSW 1270.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%