NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	100		Excitement	3.0 [1138]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +6.1%
Boston Celtics	87		Comeback	1.0 [603]		LVP	Erick Strickland (BOS): -8.2%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.01	-0.05	17	54%	0.10	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	85%	0.07	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lee Nailon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Kirk Haston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.05	7	27%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	18	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	13	65%	0.03	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	28.4	15.7	26.4	2.3	28.7	127.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +26.9%

CHH +3.3%

CHH +13.2%

CHH +6.9%

BOS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	BOS	NBA	CHH	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	15.6	107.5	92.6	102.3
season	15.9	15.0		102.2	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.6		98.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	13.2	15.0	15.7	18.4	15.5
BOS	16.8	16.3	15.0	13.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	58	57	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.23	23	-10	33	14.4	17.3	-2.87	16.2	13.9	2.24
Jamal Mashburn	66	66	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-2	17	15.4	15.8	-0.35	15.9	13.9	1.97
Baron Davis	61	64	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	0	13	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.4	15.1	0.26
George Lynch	66	66	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.21	2	11	-9	15.9	14.6	1.26	14.7	16.5	-1.79
David Wesley	37	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	4	5	15.7	15.4	0.25	15.5	15.2	0.32
Elden Campbell	54	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	14	-15	16.4	14.4	1.97	14.3	16.7	-2.38
Stacey Augmon	34	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	10	-7	14.3	16.3	-1.99	16.2	14.7	1.44
Jamaal Magloire	32	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	4	5	14.7	16.0	-1.23	16.8	14.5	2.33
Robert Traylor	14	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	13	-13	16.7	15.3	1.40	12.9	15.7	-2.76
Lee Nailon	36	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	15	-17	16.2	15.1	1.09	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Kirk Haston	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	20.6	15.1	5.46	10.1	15.8	-5.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kedrick Brown	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	9.9	15.7	-5.86	20.6	15.1	5.46
Mark Blount	15	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-21	29	13.1	15.7	-2.55	18.2	15.1	3.16
Walter McCarty	19	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-18	23	13.8	15.6	-1.80	17.8	15.0	2.79
Kenny Anderson	46	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.06	-1	-12	11	13.7	16.8	-3.10	17.0	14.2	2.80
Eric Williams	39	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-10	7	15.5	15.1	0.32	15.3	15.7	-0.42
Tony Battie	38	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-8	3	14.1	16.1	-2.05	16.0	15.2	0.76
Rodney Rogers	37	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.21	-1	-12	11	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.2	15.8	-0.61
Vitaly Potapenko	33	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	1	-15	17.3	14.2	3.08	14.9	15.9	-0.96
Paul Pierce	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-2	-9	15.5	14.7	0.86	15.6	15.4	0.20
Tony Delk	48	46	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	2	-17	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Erick Strickland	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.8	13.7	3.10	14.2	17.0	-2.80
Antoine Walker	72	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	8	-29	15.7	13.9	1.84	14.8	18.0	-3.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 123, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
CHI 108, MIN 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
ORL 107, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%