inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 110 Excitement4.2 [957] MVPScott Padgett (UTA): +12.8%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback1.2 [1014] LVPAvery Johnson (DEN): -12.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scott Padgett0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.00-0.011281%0.162-0.03250%-0.00
John Starks0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.025100%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Karl Malone0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.000.021263%0.062-0.05683%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko-0.000,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.020.001458%0.031-0.03875%0.01
Greg Ostertag-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04356%0.002-0.00333%-0.03
John Stockton-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.02575%0.002-0.026100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jarron Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.01350%-0.0200.0020%-0.04
Bryon Russell-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.010.010.04954%-0.021-0.026100%0.02
Rusty LaRue-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.090.00-0.04725%-0.041-0.002100%0.01
John Amaechi-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00212%-0.0700.00425%-0.04

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.04-0.01-0.011254%0.0400.002100%0.01
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00380%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.010.021453%-0.021-0.00475%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02860%0.022-0.054100%0.02
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.01633%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Kenny Satterfield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.05719%-0.041-0.03250%-0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.05-0.010.101257%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Scott Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.030.00540%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.030.071361%-0.024-0.105100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game537.22.327.515.630.71.729.6644.7
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +40.7%
DEN -5.1%
DEN -0.4%
UTA +13.1%
UTA +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADENNBAUTADENNBA
this game15.315.615.6119.6105.3102.3
season16.116.1102.999.7
opponent15.215.1105.9101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.017.612.315.815.3
DEN16.715.916.313.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko61640.440.060.380.0015-41914.517.0-2.5616.214.41.85
Greg Ostertag33340.370.130.24-0.1016-52112.317.0-4.7316.415.21.27
Rusty LaRue36380.340.160.18-0.1316-52114.116.1-2.0116.015.40.67
Bryon Russell69690.310.190.110.1947-315.415.00.3915.615.7-0.13
John Starks49500.280.220.070.1747-316.014.61.3714.916.5-1.60
Karl Malone70720.280.220.070.28011-1115.315.5-0.2715.217.1-1.97
John Stockton55540.190.31-0.130.28-314-1715.914.41.5115.715.60.09
Scott Padgett51510.180.32-0.140.18011-1116.513.92.5415.016.3-1.29
Jarron Collins21230.100.40-0.29-0.0147-316.914.91.9716.615.31.30
John Amaechi14130.030.47-0.430.00110-917.415.02.4716.815.41.32
DeShawn Stevenson12-0.030.53-0.560.03-213-1526.015.210.787.015.8-8.82

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard4747-0.09-0.410.33-0.235-162114.916.3-1.3816.014.61.44
Zendon Hamilton2422-0.13-0.370.24-0.04-3-8515.215.8-0.5113.915.8-1.88
Calbert Cheaney5554-0.22-0.280.06-0.02-7-4-316.414.61.7715.215.6-0.41
Kenny Satterfield2423-0.23-0.270.040.12-121-1315.415.7-0.3414.315.7-1.43
James Posey4949-0.24-0.260.03-0.15-3-8515.715.50.2215.415.30.11
Avery Johnson7069-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-121315.715.40.3415.714.31.43
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2221-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.01-10-1-916.515.31.2014.215.7-1.42
Raef LaFrentz7775-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.13-7-4-315.217.4-2.1815.315.4-0.02
George McCloud6260-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.19-5-6114.617.6-2.9315.714.61.14
Scott Williams4040-0.35-0.15-0.190.06-143-1717.314.42.9515.415.20.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DET 92, DAL 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,096.5%
SAS 90, GSW 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,095.7%
WAS 77, CHI 690.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.6%