NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	90		Excitement	7.3 [365]		MVP	Hubert Davis (WAS): +18.2%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.8 [808]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): -26.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hubert Davis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.07	0.00	11	77%	0.23	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13	0.09	0.06	0.01	12	66%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.14	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Richard Hamilton	-0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26	-0.13	-0.12	0.00	22	42%	-0.17	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.10	-0.02	13	57%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	10	76%	0.18	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.03
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	9	46%	0.03	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	63%	0.06	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.04	0.02	8	54%	0.01	0	0.00	10	80%	0.05
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	30.6	16.4	23.5	2.4	37.5	137.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.6%

DET +16.2%

DET +0.3%

DET +12.7%

DET +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	17.5	16.0	15.6	104.7	112.8	102.3
season	16.5	15.7		102.2	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.3		99.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	18.0	15.0	20.1	17.4	17.5
DET	13.9	17.0	17.8	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	45	45	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-9	11	17.6	17.5	0.09	16.0	16.0	0.00
Christian Laettner	37	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-7	7	17.6	17.5	0.06	15.8	16.1	-0.25
Courtney Alexander	12	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	1	-9	16.1	17.8	-1.69	11.5	16.6	-5.05
Tyronn Lue	23	21	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	3	-13	17.0	17.7	-0.67	14.4	16.4	-2.02
Chris Whitney	64	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.30	1	-8	9	17.5	17.5	0.05	16.2	15.0	1.24
Popeye Jones	49	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-9	11	17.5	17.6	-0.06	16.3	15.5	0.82
Tyrone Nesby	39	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	18.7	16.6	2.16	15.4	16.4	-1.04
Hubert Davis	60	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-6	5	17.2	18.3	-1.11	16.5	14.8	1.71
Richard Hamilton	68	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-4	1	17.0	19.7	-2.70	16.1	15.5	0.59
Brendan Haywood	33	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.16	-9	2	-11	18.7	16.8	1.89	16.9	15.3	1.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	81	80	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-5	17	15.9	17.2	-1.32	17.8	13.8	3.98
Damon Jones	37	39	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.32	8	-1	9	15.5	16.3	-0.82	17.2	17.8	-0.65
Corliss Williamson	47	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	16.0	15.8	0.20	17.9	17.1	0.77
Jerry Stackhouse	40	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	4	-1	16.1	15.8	0.32	18.0	17.1	0.86
Michael Curry	68	67	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-1	9	16.0	15.9	0.01	17.5	17.5	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	50	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.19	-2	9	-11	15.9	16.0	-0.13	17.1	18.1	-1.05
Chucky Atkins	49	47	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.03	-1	8	-9	16.3	15.5	0.82	17.8	17.2	0.65
Jon Barry	58	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	7	-7	15.9	16.0	-0.12	16.9	18.8	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	93.0%
SAC 102, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.7%
GSW 94, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.72,1	92.5%