NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	103		Excitement	5.0 [809]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +7.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	1.4 [523]		LVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -10.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
John Starks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.05	0.04	-0.06	24	55%	0.10	4	-0.05	16	81%	0.03
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rusty LaRue	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	69%	0.01	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	13	74%	0.12	3	-0.08	8	87%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	7	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	51%	-0.04	2	-0.05	17	94%	0.07
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	0.01	-0.01	10	37%	-0.09	1	-0.02	12	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	30.5	15.4	31.1	1.8	39.0	144.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.0%

UTA +1.0%

CLE -2.6%

UTA +6.6%

CLE -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	17.2	14.5	15.6	114.4	100.0	102.3
season	16.1	15.8		102.9	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		106.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.9	17.6	18.7	15.6	17.2
CLE	17.4	13.2	13.4	14.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Ostertag	41	40	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.15	18	-7	25	17.0	17.2	-0.20	14.5	14.5	0.05
Andrei Kirilenko	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.11	17	-6	23	17.1	17.2	-0.12	15.6	12.9	2.73
Rusty LaRue	33	32	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	0	11	15.9	17.9	-1.92	17.2	13.1	4.18
Bryon Russell	82	83	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	5	1	17.1	17.5	-0.38	13.7	22.4	-8.78
Karl Malone	73	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	7	-3	17.3	16.5	0.84	14.8	13.2	1.54
John Starks	26	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	3	5	17.6	17.0	0.59	16.7	13.5	3.17
Scott Padgett	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	11	-11	16.8	17.3	-0.58	12.4	15.5	-3.10
John Stockton	57	60	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	11	-11	17.9	15.9	1.92	13.1	17.2	-4.18
Jarron Collins	53	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	20	-29	17.1	17.2	-0.06	14.3	14.8	-0.48

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeSagana Diop	13	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-12	13	11.5	15.0	-3.56	19.3	16.8	2.51
Lamond Murray	71	70	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.23	8	-19	27	12.8	20.4	-7.65	17.7	15.2	2.51
Trajan Langdon	12	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-12	13	13.4	14.7	-1.27	16.7	17.2	-0.49
Tyrone Hill	49	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-15	19	14.0	15.1	-1.12	18.2	15.9	2.30
Wesley Person	76	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.18	2	-13	15	14.1	16.7	-2.62	16.9	18.6	-1.73
Jumaine Jones	22	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	1	-13	17.0	13.7	3.32	15.8	17.5	-1.73
Chris Mihm	46	47	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-5	-1	15.4	13.6	1.78	17.4	16.8	0.61
Michael Doleac	22	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	0	-11	13.7	14.8	-1.04	14.7	17.9	-3.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	47	46	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	16.0	13.0	2.94	16.4	17.9	-1.47
Andre Miller	80	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.14	-12	1	-13	14.7	13.4	1.27	17.2	16.7	0.49
Ricky Davis	22	22	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.06	-20	9	-29	18.0	13.4	4.63	17.1	17.2	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 97, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
MIL 107, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.28,0.32,0.27,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 118, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%