NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	92		Excitement	6.3 [553]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +19.9%
Charlotte Hornets	78		Comeback	2.7 [149]		LVP	Baron Davis (CHH): -27.3%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.08	0.02	9	86%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shane Battier	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.09	0.01	13	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Will Solomon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Jason Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	18	45%	0.03	6	-0.13	2	0%	-0.05

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.01	20	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	79%	0.12	4	-0.16	7	100%	0.07
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	11	40%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.08	0.03	17	42%	-0.12	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.23,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.28	-0.06	-0.07	20	29%	-0.15	5	-0.12	8	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	31.4	15.8	28.2	2.4	28.1	130.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +62.9%

CHH -25.1%

CHH -7.6%

MEM +12.7%

MEM +7.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHH	NBA	MEM	CHH	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	103.4	86.7	102.3
season	15.7	15.9		96.0	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.5	15.5	16.0	20.8	15.8
CHH	14.1	18.0	14.7	20.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	78	78	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.07	22	-8	30	15.9	15.1	0.78	16.2	17.7	-1.56
Jason Williams	58	56	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.27	12	2	10	16.2	15.0	1.14	17.8	14.1	3.67
Stromile Swift	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-4	22	17.9	13.9	4.03	18.0	14.9	3.11
Brevin Knight	56	58	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.01	19	-5	24	16.6	14.4	2.24	16.2	16.8	-0.64
Lorenzen Wright	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	15.7	15.8	-0.10	15.7	17.3	-1.62
Tony Massenburg	38	37	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	8	-2	16.1	15.5	0.62	17.6	15.5	2.07
Will Solomon	9	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	15	-16	15.8	15.8	0.00	13.0	16.8	-3.78
Grant Long	52	53	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	21	-28	14.4	17.8	-3.39	15.1	18.2	-3.08
Pau Gasol	64	66	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	24	-34	14.1	20.0	-5.82	16.0	17.6	-1.67

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	67	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-9	4	15.6	18.7	-3.08	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Robert Traylor	5	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-9	4	19.8	16.2	3.60	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Stacey Augmon	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-11	8	19.2	16.0	3.17	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Lee Nailon	73	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-10	6	15.8	19.1	-3.35	15.6	16.6	-0.96
Elden Campbell	72	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-13	12	16.7	15.1	1.61	15.9	15.4	0.45
Baron Davis	82	82	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-5	-4	16.5	15.7	0.71	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Bryce Drew	25	25	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.00	-14	0	-14	18.4	15.6	2.77	18.9	14.5	4.37
George Lynch	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-4	-6	16.0	18.7	-2.68	15.3	18.5	-3.15
Jamaal Magloire	38	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.08	-19	5	-24	16.5	16.3	0.13	15.9	15.7	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.69,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 105, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0	91.6%
SAC 113, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0	91.0%
UTA 116, HOU 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.06,0,0.03,0.01,0,0	91.0%