NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	91		Excitement	3.0 [1149]		MVP	Lee Nailon (CHH): +10.2%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	1.4 [1120]		LVP	Marcus Fizer (CHI): -8.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
A.J. Guyton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	-0.01	0.08	13	73%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	58%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	26%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	5	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.05	12	38%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	6	31%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.01	0.04	16	69%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.03	9	53%	0.05	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	67%	0.04	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	-0.00	-0.08	11	42%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	9	63%	0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	68%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.02
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	6	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.6	27.0	15.5	21.9	1.8	26.6	122.4
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +29.8%

CHH +0.1%

CHH +1.1%

CHH +16.1%

CHH +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHH	NBA	CHI	CHH	NBA
this game	15.7	14.1	15.6	94.8	116.5	102.3
season	15.6	15.9		96.3	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.3	12.9	16.9	16.1	15.7
CHH	13.4	14.8	13.1	15.2	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-29	36	14.5	16.3	-1.89	14.2	14.1	0.06
Fred Hoiberg	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-27	32	15.7	15.8	-0.07	15.5	13.3	2.14
Tyson Chandler	35	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-14	6	16.0	15.6	0.47	16.2	12.9	3.25
Brad Miller	24	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.09	-9	-13	4	16.0	15.6	0.42	15.0	13.8	1.23
Trenton Hassell	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-11	0	16.4	14.4	1.94	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Kevin Ollie	43	45	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.31	-19	-3	-16	15.7	15.8	-0.14	14.0	14.3	-0.31
A.J. Guyton	53	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-19	16	15.8	15.7	0.14	14.3	14.0	0.31
Marcus Fizer	36	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.45	-24	2	-26	16.8	15.1	1.68	12.4	15.1	-2.71
Eddie Robinson	37	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	-12	2	15.0	16.2	-1.19	13.5	14.5	-1.03
Dalibor Bagaric	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-12	2	15.5	16.3	-0.78	13.6	15.3	-1.71
Metta World Peace	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.47	-28	6	-34	15.5	16.0	-0.55	13.8	14.6	-0.80

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.46	29	-7	36	13.3	15.5	-2.19	15.7	15.7	0.01
Baron Davis	61	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.43	27	-5	32	13.3	15.5	-2.14	15.8	15.7	0.07
Stacey Augmon	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	8	6	14.8	13.9	0.93	12.9	16.8	-3.90
Elden Campbell	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.13	15	7	8	15.0	13.4	1.58	15.1	16.3	-1.16
P.J. Brown	45	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	8	6	14.8	13.5	1.30	15.3	16.0	-0.70
Lee Nailon	82	80	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	12	-2	14.2	13.7	0.54	16.7	11.0	5.68
Robert Traylor	52	54	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	14	-6	13.5	14.8	-1.30	16.0	15.3	0.70
Bryce Drew	38	38	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.28	-3	25	-28	15.4	13.3	2.13	15.4	15.9	-0.55
Jamaal Magloire	51	51	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	15	-8	13.4	15.0	-1.58	16.3	15.1	1.16
Jerome Moiso	23	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	33	-44	15.2	13.8	1.38	16.1	15.6	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, DEN 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
SAC 84, ORL 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.71,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 77, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%