NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	141		Excitement	14.8 [2]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +98.5%
Indiana Pacers	140		Comeback	20.4 [75]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -44.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.37	0.18	0.20	0.00	13	81%	0.37	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.07,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.05	0.18	0.00	17	64%	0.38	3	-0.15	5	100%	0.06
Wang Zhi-zhi	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.01	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.03	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0,0,0,-0.06,0.02,-0.08,-0.16,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	22	64%	0.31	5	-0.28	15	93%	0.21
Johnny Newman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.12	0.03	-0.07	9	54%	0.07	6	-0.08	6	83%	0.07
Adrian Griffin	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	0.04	-0.10	-0.00	21	57%	0.06	1	-0.11	12	92%	0.04
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	2	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.93,0.99	0.98	0.22	0.79	0.02	18	80%	1.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.21	0.00	16	59%	0.29	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.09,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	0.05	-0.24	0.02	25	57%	-0.16	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0,-0.42	-0.42	-0.01	-0.40	0.00	8	50%	-0.42	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.19
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.00	7	61%	-0.30	4	-0.13	4	25%	-0.40
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.45	-0.08	-0.38	-0.01	16	47%	-0.36	4	-0.09	6	67%	-0.30

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	33.4	2.5	25.4	16.3	24.4	1.8	36.2	2.4	16.4	2.5	20.3	181.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -1.7%

DAL +108.3%

IND -20.9%

IND -27.9%

IND -7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	15.6	113.7	116.7	102.3
season	14.8	15.3		109.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.5		100.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	11.9	15.4	15.6	14.6	13.6	14.2
IND	13.4	13.4	14.4	14.8	18.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	66	63	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.27	24	-23	47	14.3	14.1	0.15	15.1	13.4	1.76
Adrian Griffin	61	61	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.53	2	-1	3	14.0	14.4	-0.36	12.8	15.8	-3.03
Dirk Nowitzki	113	109	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	-3	7	13.8	18.1	-4.25	14.5	12.5	1.94
Wang Zhi-zhi	30	29	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-7	15	14.9	14.0	0.94	14.7	14.2	0.55
Michael Finley	122	119	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.48	-2	3	-5	14.1	19.0	-4.86	14.3	16.0	-1.71
Shawn Bradley	31	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	-5	11	15.4	13.8	1.52	13.8	14.5	-0.72
Johnny Newman	32	29	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	12	-23	11.4	15.2	-3.79	12.8	14.8	-2.00
Steve Nash	82	81	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.11	-14	15	-29	14.8	13.2	1.59	14.9	13.2	1.71
Juwan Howard	72	69	-0.65	1.15	-1.79	-0.27	-13	14	-27	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.7	13.8	0.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Rose	88	93	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.17	13	-14	27	15.1	12.2	2.85	14.5	13.3	1.24
Norman Richardson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-2	3	9.0	14.4	-5.44	17.0	14.1	2.85
Travis Best	74	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.31	-14	13	-27	15.0	13.3	1.70	14.7	13.5	1.24
Jonathan Bender	34	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.46	9	-10	19	13.1	14.8	-1.70	12.4	15.0	-2.58
Bruno Sundov	46	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.36	3	-4	7	13.4	14.9	-1.45	15.5	13.5	2.06
Reggie Miller	92	94	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-2	3	14.3	14.5	-0.20	14.2	14.2	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	118	121	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.47	1	-2	3	14.2	20.0	-5.79	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Jeff Foster	69	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	1	-3	14.1	14.6	-0.45	13.5	15.2	-1.73
Austin Croshere	76	79	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.43	-17	16	-33	14.5	14.0	0.45	14.1	14.4	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.02,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.46,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.55,0.3,0.45,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, TOR 77	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0	87.0%
MIL 114, MEM 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.17,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	86.8%
NOH 97, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.46,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.15,0	86.6%