inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 111 Excitement6.1 [590] MVPDevean George (LAL): +7.7%
Orlando Magic 93 Comeback4.9 [373] LVPMike Miller (ORL): -10.5%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Devean George0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.03862%0.0800.00520%-0.06
Robert Horry0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00558%0.0400.002100%0.02
Derek Fisher0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.00-0.00667%0.061-0.046100%0.04
Shaquille O'Neal0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.08-0.030.031965%0.082-0.06850%-0.05
Mark Madsen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02475%0.0200.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Shaw-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.000.02267%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Samaki Walker-0.040,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.00350%-0.011-0.022100%0.02
Mitch Richmond-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Rick Fox-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.011148%0.013-0.06333%-0.04
Lindsey Hunter-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.0040%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.100.02-0.002343%-0.042-0.04862%-0.04

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pat Garrity0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.04-0.011861%0.113-0.0700%0.00
Don Reid0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00475%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Steven Hunter00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeryl Sasser0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.010.041661%0.073-0.084100%0.03
Jud Buechler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01955%0.012-0.044100%0.03
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.010.02464%-0.001-0.02333%-0.02
Troy Hudson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.03-0.001342%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.0030%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.140.01-0.031634%-0.062-0.05683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.12.831.919.529.23.630.3142.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +20.1%
ORL -1.6%
LAL +17.9%
LAL +16.3%
ORL -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALORLNBALALORLNBA
this game15.313.815.6113.393.0102.3
season15.314.6106.9104.6
opponent15.815.4103.399.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL15.014.415.316.415.3
ORL13.314.415.312.413.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Devean George57600.83-0.331.16-0.0530-124214.815.9-1.0514.412.91.53
Brian Shaw27260.62-0.120.740.0320-22215.815.10.7112.814.2-1.45
Kobe Bryant92950.480.020.47-0.011711615.215.5-0.2514.011.62.36
Samaki Walker28260.440.060.380.20810-215.715.10.5815.013.41.57
Robert Horry52530.440.060.370.11117415.614.90.6213.414.4-1.02
Derek Fisher55550.320.180.14-0.181711614.516.2-1.6413.813.9-0.09
Mitch Richmond9100.010.49-0.48-0.05216-1415.715.20.4413.413.9-0.49
Mark Madsen770.010.49-0.49-0.20711-418.715.03.719.614.2-4.59
Slava Medvedenko230.000.50-0.50-0.06216-1420.015.24.837.014.1-7.05
Shaquille O'Neal7476-0.110.61-0.710.01-422-2615.016.2-1.2513.813.80.01
Rick Fox5858-0.150.65-0.790.00-523-2814.915.8-0.8614.612.81.82
Lindsey Hunter2931-0.400.90-1.290.04-1533-4816.314.81.5313.514.0-0.56

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Don Reid37370.19-0.690.890.026-243013.314.2-0.9016.214.71.53
Jeryl Sasser320.02-0.520.540.08-2-16147.014.1-7.0520.015.24.83
Steven Hunter320.00-0.500.500.06-2-16147.014.1-7.0520.015.24.83
Darrell Armstrong7572-0.18-0.320.140.06-8-10213.614.6-1.0715.115.8-0.69
Tracy McGrady8683-0.23-0.270.05-0.02-7-11414.012.71.3114.818.0-3.23
Pat Garrity8685-0.26-0.24-0.020.04-10-8-214.012.81.2315.215.5-0.23
Jud Buechler710-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.11-7-11414.913.81.0916.915.11.82
Mike Miller9290-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-6-613.814.1-0.3115.413.91.51
Monty Williams2624-0.37-0.13-0.230.10-16-2-1413.314.0-0.7715.515.20.37
Troy Hudson4445-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.02-15-3-1213.514.1-0.6115.215.3-0.08
Andrew DeClercq4140-0.570.07-0.65-0.08-17-1-1615.712.53.1614.515.8-1.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 93, PHI 830.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.74,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.49,0.34,0.17,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,093.9%
BOS 95, IND 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.34,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,093.5%
UTA 105, IND 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.05,093.3%