NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	71		Excitement	4.8 [850]		MVP	Ira Newble (ATL): +3.6%
Detroit Pistons	88		Comeback	1.0 [1201]		LVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): -25.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.04	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cal Bowdler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	8	67%	0.04	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	17	47%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mark Strickland	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.23	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.08	-0.00	14	31%	-0.17	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	21	58%	0.06	3	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.14	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.02	12	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.21	-0.06	-0.01	14	29%	-0.17	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	30.5	15.4	22.5	1.5	31.2	129.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +14.7%

DET +9.7%

DET +11.5%

DET +10.9%

DET +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	16.2	16.9	15.6	81.6	101.1	102.3
season	15.5	15.7		99.7	101.9
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	18.2	16.4	15.3	16.2
DET	14.3	18.7	18.8	16.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ira Newble	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-21	25	15.6	17.1	-1.50	18.0	15.1	2.88
Cal Bowdler	10	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-13	9	15.1	16.3	-1.20	16.7	17.0	-0.25
Hanno Mottola	45	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-17	17	15.5	16.9	-1.35	16.8	17.1	-0.35
Dion Glover	55	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-17	17	16.3	15.9	0.40	18.4	14.7	3.72
DerMarr Johnson	12	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.05	-9	-8	-1	16.8	16.1	0.78	10.1	18.1	-8.07
Jacque Vaughn	42	42	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-7	-3	16.8	15.5	1.30	15.1	18.7	-3.62
Jason Terry	60	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	-3	-11	15.5	17.7	-2.24	17.9	14.7	3.26
Nazr Mohammed	41	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	0	-17	16.1	16.2	-0.12	17.0	16.9	0.11
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-2	-13	16.2	15.9	0.28	17.3	15.4	1.86
Mark Strickland	44	44	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	3	-23	17.7	14.6	3.08	16.0	17.9	-1.95

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chucky Atkins	74	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.08	23	-6	29	16.2	20.9	-4.68	16.0	17.4	-1.46
Jerry Stackhouse	69	70	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-5	27	16.0	20.4	-4.42	15.7	18.1	-2.36
Ben Wallace	76	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	5	7	16.9	17.0	-0.07	15.8	18.7	-2.94
Clifford Robinson	63	65	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.21	21	-4	25	16.8	17.3	-0.48	15.8	17.3	-1.55
Michael Curry	49	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.08	14	3	11	17.2	16.6	0.69	16.8	15.3	1.55
Zeljko Rebraca	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	12	-7	18.7	16.2	2.50	17.8	15.5	2.24
Corliss Williamson	25	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	22	-27	17.1	16.9	0.25	17.1	15.8	1.31
Jon Barry	36	34	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	17	-17	17.6	16.5	1.09	16.1	16.2	-0.02
Brian Cardinal	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	18	-19	13.0	17.0	-4.04	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Damon Jones	15	13	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	23	-29	19.9	16.3	3.53	16.6	16.1	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 91, DAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.1%
WAS 81, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
MIL 90, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.7%