NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.3 [754]		MVP	Slava Medvedenko (LAL): +8.4%
San Antonio Spurs	81		Comeback	2.2 [188]		LVP	Rick Fox (LAL): -11.0%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Slava Medvedenko	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	25	49%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Mitch Richmond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charles Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.00	16	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Mark Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	0.02	7	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	11	36%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	10	44%	-0.03	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	36%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
David Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	21	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	29.3	19.7	24.2	2.6	27.3	132.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +43.2%

LAL +0.6%

LAL +6.8%

LAL +2.3%

SAS -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	15.6	111.4	92.0	102.3
season	15.3	15.8		106.9	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		98.0	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	18.2	20.1	16.0	17.1
SAS	15.2	16.0	15.9	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	49	49	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	1	15	17.4	16.8	0.62	15.3	16.0	-0.74
Derek Fisher	59	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	3	11	16.7	17.9	-1.17	15.4	16.1	-0.78
Kobe Bryant	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	5	7	17.6	15.2	2.40	15.2	16.9	-1.70
Rick Fox	59	58	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.07	13	4	9	16.8	17.8	-0.96	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Slava Medvedenko	27	28	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	11	-5	15.8	17.7	-1.93	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Samaki Walker	50	49	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	13	-9	16.6	17.8	-1.19	16.1	15.1	1.01
Devean George	29	30	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	13	-9	17.8	16.8	0.96	16.2	15.3	0.84
Mitch Richmond	17	19	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	12	-7	15.2	17.6	-2.40	16.9	15.2	1.70
Lindsey Hunter	29	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	13	-9	17.9	16.7	1.17	15.7	15.6	0.08
Mark Madsen	50	49	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.07	7	10	-3	18.1	15.8	2.24	15.9	15.3	0.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	3	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-16	15	13.3	15.7	-2.36	14.3	17.2	-2.88
David Robinson	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-18	19	16.1	15.2	0.94	17.8	16.4	1.41
Stephen Jackson	31	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-10	3	15.6	15.6	-0.00	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Antonio Daniels	68	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-10	3	15.1	17.2	-2.12	18.0	14.1	3.90
Charles Smith	59	60	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	-11	5	16.0	14.8	1.17	17.5	16.3	1.21
Malik Rose	48	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	1	-19	15.2	16.1	-0.85	16.5	17.9	-1.40
Terry Porter	32	31	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	-1	-15	15.8	15.5	0.36	14.3	18.7	-4.41
Tim Duncan	81	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	-2	-13	15.8	13.0	2.84	17.2	15.8	1.37
Steven Smith	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	-1	-15	15.5	16.5	-0.99	17.4	15.7	1.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 79, UTA 70	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0,0	94.6%
GSW 102, VAN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
OKC 95, NOH 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0	93.7%