NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	81		Excitement	2.6 [1193]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +18.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	1.2 [1159]		LVP	Grant Long (MEM): -9.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Buford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Stromile Swift	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	15	59%	0.04	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Antonis Fotsis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.08	5	20%	-0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	19	56%	0.01	3	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	9	30%	-0.04	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	5	9%	-0.05	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	6	17%	-0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.31	0.01	0.14	34	70%	0.18	0	0.00	12	92%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.04	8	69%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	54%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	10	60%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	27.5	16.3	24.0	2.7	24.6	124.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +26.9%

MEM -0.0%

LAL +6.8%

LAL +15.8%

LAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAL	NBA	MEM	LAL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	15.6	83.5	123.7	102.3
season	15.7	15.3		96.0	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	13.8	16.9	15.9	15.3
LAL	15.3	13.9	12.4	16.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonis Fotsis	22	23	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-39	39	15.9	15.1	0.76	16.1	13.9	2.25
Will Solomon	29	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-30	21	15.3	15.3	-0.00	14.7	14.3	0.35
Brevin Knight	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.44	-19	-20	1	14.4	15.7	-1.25	13.3	15.0	-1.64
Rodney Buford	63	62	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.24	-13	-26	13	14.6	16.5	-1.88	14.9	13.5	1.36
Stromile Swift	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.35	-18	-21	3	14.6	16.4	-1.87	15.2	13.2	1.98
Tony Massenburg	36	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.31	-21	-18	-3	16.6	14.5	2.03	12.9	15.3	-2.38
Shane Battier	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.33	-24	-15	-9	15.3	15.2	0.17	14.7	13.9	0.74
Jason Williams	43	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.21	-20	-19	-1	15.6	15.0	0.59	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Pau Gasol	88	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.62	-38	-1	-37	15.5	13.4	2.02	14.3	15.3	-1.02
Grant Long	50	52	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.47	-33	-6	-27	15.6	14.9	0.75	13.7	15.2	-1.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	71	72	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.66	40	-1	41	13.7	16.4	-2.75	15.1	15.9	-0.81
Robert Horry	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.63	33	6	27	14.0	15.2	-1.28	15.2	15.4	-0.26
Derek Fisher	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.55	28	11	17	13.9	15.1	-1.13	15.4	15.1	0.38
Rick Fox	57	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.55	28	11	17	13.9	15.1	-1.13	15.4	15.1	0.38
Samaki Walker	46	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.27	18	21	-3	14.3	14.5	-0.16	16.1	14.5	1.58
Devean George	40	40	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.07	11	28	-17	15.1	13.9	1.13	15.3	15.3	-0.01
Mark Madsen	51	51	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.38	21	18	3	14.5	14.3	0.16	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Lindsey Hunter	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.10	11	28	-17	15.1	13.9	1.13	15.1	15.4	-0.38
Slava Medvedenko	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	35	-31	15.6	13.9	1.63	15.8	15.0	0.78
Brian Shaw	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	38	-37	15.3	14.3	1.02	13.4	15.5	-2.02
Mitch Richmond	23	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	39	-39	16.1	13.9	2.25	15.9	15.1	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 91, TOR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
VAN 80, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
DAL 88, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%