NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	89		Excitement	2.7 [1184]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +10.7%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.0 [1142]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -10.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	77%	0.04	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	17	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	54%	-0.02	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	15	40%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	10	55%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	7	35%	-0.04	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.03
Latrell Sprewell	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	15	31%	-0.06	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.00	0.05	18	71%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Wang Zhi-zhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	9	50%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.04	1	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	50%	0.00	4	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	13	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	2.7	31.6	19.4	26.7	2.8	26.5	130.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +32.3%

DAL +12.0%

DAL +0.3%

DAL +5.0%

DAL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	13.9	15.6	91.8	114.4	102.3
season	15.9	14.8		99.6	109.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	15.8	16.1	15.0	15.8
DAL	12.6	14.2	13.9	15.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	29	30	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.10	6	-28	34	14.0	16.5	-2.47	15.0	13.4	1.60
Lavor Postell	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-31	40	11.9	16.1	-4.24	13.6	14.0	-0.41
Shandon Anderson	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-19	16	14.6	16.7	-2.10	14.3	13.6	0.67
Howard Eisley	8	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-15	8	17.9	15.6	2.30	14.3	13.9	0.39
Kurt Thomas	60	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-15	8	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.0	13.8	0.24
Othella Harrington	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.18	-16	-6	-10	16.4	14.9	1.57	14.3	13.5	0.80
Mark Jackson	60	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.21	-21	-1	-20	16.3	14.9	1.45	13.3	14.9	-1.56
Latrell Sprewell	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.19	-22	0	-22	16.4	13.3	3.16	13.7	14.6	-0.82
Allan Houston	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	3	-28	15.5	16.9	-1.50	13.7	14.6	-0.91
Marcus Camby	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	2	-26	16.3	14.5	1.78	13.8	14.2	-0.44

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	76	74	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.17	21	1	20	14.2	13.0	1.12	15.9	15.3	0.54
Steve Nash	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	3	16	12.9	15.0	-2.12	16.3	15.1	1.20
Adrian Griffin	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.11	15	7	8	13.2	15.1	-1.84	16.2	15.1	1.12
Juwan Howard	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	12	-2	13.4	15.3	-1.96	15.9	15.4	0.47
Eduardo Najera	45	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	5	12	14.8	13.2	1.54	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Wang Zhi-zhi	37	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	11	0	14.4	13.7	0.68	16.0	15.6	0.44
Greg Buckner	58	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	13	-4	14.8	12.7	2.07	14.7	17.3	-2.63
Johnny Newman	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	15	-8	13.0	14.3	-1.30	18.0	14.9	3.09
Tim Hardaway	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	19	-16	15.0	12.9	2.12	15.1	16.3	-1.20
Danny Manning	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	24	-26	13.0	14.1	-1.08	13.0	16.2	-3.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, PHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
SAS 83, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAC 84, HOU 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%