NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	3.2 [1109]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (DET): +7.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1.8 [908]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -5.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	18	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Michael Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mikki Moore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dana Barros	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	14	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.00	0.09	11	82%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	61%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.02	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.01	0.03	20	51%	0.00	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	29.0	16.0	29.1	1.8	24.3	125.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.3%

DET -0.5%

MIN +20.5%

MIN +0.1%

MIN +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MIN	NBA	DET	MIN	NBA
this game	16.9	16.6	15.6	108.1	126.7	102.3
season	15.7	15.0		101.9	106.7
opponent	16.1	15.8		103.8	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.6	19.4	14.3	18.5	16.9
MIN	15.7	14.0	18.5	18.4	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-20	24	19.7	16.7	3.02	16.6	16.6	-0.02
Brian Cardinal	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	20.7	16.6	4.08	20.3	16.3	3.99
Mikki Moore	24	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-19	22	15.0	17.6	-2.60	17.2	16.4	0.82
Zeljko Rebraca	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.11	2	-18	20	18.4	16.2	2.20	16.6	16.6	-0.07
Dana Barros	28	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-8	0	17.9	16.4	1.57	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Corliss Williamson	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-13	10	15.2	19.4	-4.20	16.8	16.4	0.44
Jon Barry	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-11	6	20.2	15.7	4.45	16.4	16.7	-0.28
Jerry Stackhouse	64	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-5	-6	15.7	20.2	-4.45	16.7	16.4	0.28
Michael Curry	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-3	-10	19.4	15.2	4.20	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Clifford Robinson	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	2	-20	17.3	16.0	1.35	16.7	16.5	0.15
Chucky Atkins	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-4	-8	15.9	18.6	-2.72	16.8	16.3	0.54
Ben Wallace	55	56	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.02	-20	4	-24	16.3	17.9	-1.61	15.9	18.0	-2.12

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	68	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.06	16	0	16	16.4	17.3	-0.91	16.9	16.9	-0.10
Anthony Peeler	39	38	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-2	20	16.6	16.6	-0.00	18.4	15.6	2.82
Wally Szczerbiak	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-7	30	16.2	18.6	-2.47	16.5	18.4	-1.85
Felipe Lopez	30	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	10	-4	15.4	17.3	-1.87	18.2	16.1	2.09
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	4	8	16.8	16.1	0.63	16.3	18.9	-2.60
Loren Woods	33	31	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	16	-16	16.2	16.9	-0.66	15.9	17.4	-1.57
Rasho Nesterovic	45	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.15	10	6	4	17.5	15.7	1.83	17.0	16.7	0.28
Chauncey Billups	56	57	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.21	10	6	4	17.3	15.4	1.87	15.9	18.7	-2.79
Dean Garrett	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.6	16.6	-0.02	19.7	16.7	3.02
William Avery	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	20	-24	16.6	16.6	-0.02	19.7	16.7	3.02
Sam Mitchell	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	23	-30	17.3	16.5	0.80	18.1	16.6	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 66, HOU 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MIA 93, POR 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.69,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MIN 95, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%