NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	5.3 [743]		MVP	Matt Harpring (PHI): +10.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	86		Comeback	1.3 [494]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -24.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	83%	0.08	1	0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	8	79%	0.15	5	-0.13	3	33%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	11	59%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	16	46%	0.00	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	62%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.23,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	28	35%	-0.16	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.05

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	15	72%	0.12	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	79%	0.12	2	-0.07	2	50%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	15	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	8	37%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.05
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	12	32%	-0.11	4	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	28.2	17.4	27.6	2.4	28.7	131.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +20.8%

PHI +8.1%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +14.6%

LAC -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	LAC	NBA	PHI	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	15.6	15.6	111.1	93.5	102.3
season	15.9	15.9		99.3	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.1	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	19.3	13.5	16.0	16.3	16.1
LAC	17.6	14.2	16.0	15.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	63	65	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.14	26	-12	38	15.2	18.0	-2.76	16.5	13.4	3.14
Dikembe Mutombo	62	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-6	26	16.9	14.2	2.64	16.7	13.3	3.34
Allen Iverson	83	85	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	0	14	16.2	15.0	1.16	15.8	12.6	3.26
Derrick Coleman	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	6	2	16.1	15.9	0.21	15.5	15.9	-0.46
Aaron McKie	54	53	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.10	5	9	-4	16.4	15.6	0.71	14.0	17.8	-3.83
Matt Harpring	40	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	8	-2	15.7	16.3	-0.57	17.5	13.9	3.53
Corie Blount	46	49	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	11	-8	14.9	17.2	-2.32	14.9	16.3	-1.43
Samuel Dalembert	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	18.0	16.0	1.98	8.5	15.7	-7.24
Vonteego Cummings	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	15	-16	18.0	16.0	1.98	8.5	15.7	-7.24
Michael Ruffin	2	3	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	16	-18	12.5	16.1	-3.65	16.3	15.6	0.77
Raja Bell	29	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	22	-30	17.4	15.4	1.99	13.0	16.8	-3.83

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	18	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-13	12	12.2	16.4	-4.18	13.7	16.6	-2.91
Sean Rooks	10	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-11	8	12.1	16.0	-3.91	19.1	15.6	3.45
Darius Miles	37	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-13	12	12.9	17.4	-4.42	15.5	16.4	-0.89
Corey Maggette	60	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-11	8	16.0	14.8	1.14	16.5	15.3	1.18
Quentin Richardson	62	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	14.7	17.5	-2.79	14.8	18.6	-3.85
Michael Olowokandi	65	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-6	-2	16.7	13.0	3.71	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Jeff McInnis	74	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	-1	-12	16.4	12.2	4.18	16.6	13.7	2.91
Lamar Odom	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	-1	-12	15.0	16.1	-1.01	15.9	16.2	-0.35
Elton Brand	71	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	2	-18	16.7	12.0	4.71	16.1	16.0	0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 108, PHX 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.06,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIL 96, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.5,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DET 97, SAC 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.35,0.55,0.48,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.05,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%