NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	80		Excitement	3.4 [1081]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +16.4%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.1 [817]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -10.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Othella Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	11	69%	0.06	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Lavor Postell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	6	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.06	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	24	64%	0.18	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	5	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Etan Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	56%	-0.00	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	-0.07	10	15%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	19	46%	0.03	5	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	3	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	27.6	15.7	25.6	2.5	31.6	131.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +39.9%

WAS +1.3%

WAS +4.6%

WAS +3.1%

WAS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	16.5	15.6	89.9	106.7	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		99.6	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.2	16.5	16.0	13.0	15.7
WAS	14.1	15.5	16.0	20.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shandon Anderson	46	46	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-23	30	14.7	16.8	-2.16	19.5	13.3	6.27
Charlie Ward	46	45	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-25	34	15.3	16.2	-0.90	18.5	14.5	4.02
Travis Knight	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-19	22	14.6	16.6	-1.97	19.7	14.0	5.63
Lavor Postell	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	9.4	16.1	-6.67	24.0	15.9	8.06
Othella Harrington	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-16	16	15.1	16.7	-1.64	17.9	14.0	3.86
Howard Eisley	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-6	-4	14.2	16.2	-1.95	17.3	16.2	1.11
Mark Jackson	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-3	-10	16.6	15.2	1.36	13.7	17.9	-4.22
Marcus Camby	40	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-2	-12	16.3	15.2	1.05	14.5	18.0	-3.42
Latrell Sprewell	60	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.00	-17	1	-18	16.6	13.7	2.93	15.0	20.0	-4.98
Kurt Thomas	43	45	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	5	-26	17.0	14.5	2.43	13.6	19.4	-5.76
Allan Houston	58	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.14	-23	7	-30	16.5	14.2	2.36	14.4	19.9	-5.47

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.02	21	-5	26	15.9	20.2	-4.26	16.0	14.1	1.90
Jahidi White	44	44	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	14.5	18.4	-3.96	16.7	14.7	1.99
Michael Jordan	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.02	15	1	14	15.2	19.5	-4.30	15.8	15.5	0.33
Popeye Jones	66	65	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.05	16	0	16	16.0	17.7	-1.68	16.3	14.0	2.27
Tyronn Lue	46	43	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	10	-4	17.7	15.2	2.54	15.6	15.8	-0.18
Chris Whitney	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	12	-8	15.0	17.8	-2.77	15.9	15.6	0.30
Christian Laettner	10	11	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	12	-8	13.6	16.8	-3.24	16.5	15.6	0.86
Brendan Haywood	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	17	-18	18.5	14.7	3.70	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Kwame Brown	11	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	16	-16	20.1	16.0	4.12	12.2	16.1	-3.94
Tyrone Nesby	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	21.0	16.3	4.68	11.0	15.9	-4.86
Etan Thomas	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	21.0	16.3	4.68	11.0	15.9	-4.86
Hubert Davis	41	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	19	-22	19.6	13.9	5.66	15.0	16.3	-1.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, BOS 114	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SEA 98, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
GSW 83, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%