NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	7.6 [306]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +16.1%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	1.4 [1038]		LVP	Troy Murphy (GSW): -12.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	0.04	-0.08	-0.00	10	69%	0.05	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.02
Brad Miller	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	0.03	16	61%	0.01	3	-0.07	14	57%	-0.06
Charles Oakley	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	8	28%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	45%	0.03	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	10%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	15	68%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	14	53%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.16,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	14	56%	0.00	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	7	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	6	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	26.4	16.5	29.5	1.6	38.2	136.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -7.8%

GSW +7.7%

GSW +29.2%

GSW +16.4%

GSW +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	GSW	NBA	CHI	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	16.8	15.6	96.7	104.5	102.3
season	15.6	14.7		96.3	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.2	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.2	14.6	14.8	14.3	15.3
GSW	14.1	17.5	15.8	20.0	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	15	14	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-10	15	14.1	15.5	-1.35	16.8	16.7	0.04
Eddy Curry	12	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-8	11	15.7	15.2	0.46	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Kevin Ollie	30	30	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-5	5	15.6	15.1	0.50	20.5	14.9	5.60
Marcus Fizer	31	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-5	5	15.6	15.1	0.48	20.3	14.9	5.35
Brad Miller	66	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	14.9	16.2	-1.35	15.7	19.5	-3.82
Trenton Hassell	76	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	15.4	14.8	0.56	16.7	16.9	-0.22
Greg Anthony	76	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-1	-3	15.4	14.6	0.79	15.8	21.0	-5.18
Charles Oakley	73	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.24	-10	5	-15	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.2	18.8	-2.61
Fred Hoiberg	76	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.32	-9	4	-13	15.1	15.9	-0.80	16.2	19.9	-3.71

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	65	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.30	12	-7	19	15.6	19.7	-4.10	15.8	13.7	2.17
Antawn Jamison	66	66	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.38	7	-2	9	16.1	18.5	-2.39	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Erick Dampier	46	47	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	-1	7	15.6	18.0	-2.46	16.2	14.2	1.96
Danny Fortson	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	-2	9	16.2	17.8	-1.59	15.8	14.2	1.64
Larry Hughes	65	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	16.0	18.8	-2.85	14.9	16.4	-1.57
Mookie Blaylock	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	3	-1	17.5	16.4	1.06	15.3	15.2	0.08
Troy Murphy	30	32	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	7	-9	19.7	15.3	4.45	14.3	15.8	-1.42
Chris Mills	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.13	-3	8	-11	17.6	15.7	1.89	14.9	15.7	-0.81
Adonal Foyle	14	16	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	4	-3	17.6	16.6	1.06	13.8	15.6	-1.76
Bob Sura	23	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.01	-8	13	-21	20.5	15.4	5.08	14.6	15.5	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, NOK 90	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.84,0.99,0.98,1	92.9%
PHI 78, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.89,0.98,1	92.8%
CHI 82, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.84,1	92.7%