NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	4.8 [855]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +7.8%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	1.6 [491]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -28.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	12	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	70%	0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Damone Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	5	31%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	30	42%	-0.05	3	-0.07	7	57%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	50%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kerry Kittles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	12	32%	-0.08	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.26	-0.05	-0.04	9	0%	-0.16	5	-0.12	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.0	14.8	27.0	2.5	29.4	130.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.9%

PHI +8.8%

NJN -4.0%

PHI +7.7%

NJN -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	13.5	15.6	101.1	84.5	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		99.3	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	16.5	17.9	19.0	16.9
NJN	14.5	12.4	14.2	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	66	68	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.01	18	-6	24	16.4	18.0	-1.63	14.2	12.0	2.20
Matt Harpring	51	54	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.12	22	-10	32	17.4	16.3	1.04	14.5	12.2	2.33
Derrick Coleman	78	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-4	20	16.9	16.9	-0.06	13.7	12.1	1.59
Aaron McKie	79	82	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.00	16	-4	20	17.1	15.9	1.12	13.6	13.1	0.52
Allen Iverson	79	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-1	14	16.7	17.7	-0.98	13.7	12.2	1.47
Vonteego Cummings	13	12	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	9	-6	16.6	16.9	-0.31	12.9	13.6	-0.67
Damone Brown	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	10.0	17.0	-7.03	5.0	13.7	-8.68
Alvin Jones	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	10.0	17.0	-7.03	10.0	13.5	-3.54
Tim James	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	14	-16	10.0	17.0	-7.03	10.0	13.5	-3.54
Corie Blount	38	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	18	-24	18.4	15.8	2.65	12.4	14.3	-1.84
Raja Bell	22	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	22	-32	14.8	17.5	-2.76	12.5	13.8	-1.35
Speedy Claxton	33	35	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	18	-24	18.0	16.2	1.78	12.2	14.2	-2.00

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Dial	24	25	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.12	6	-18	24	12.3	13.9	-1.61	16.4	17.1	-0.66
Aaron Williams	26	24	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.14	6	-18	24	12.4	13.9	-1.53	19.1	16.1	3.02
Jason Collins	23	24	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.24	9	-21	30	13.7	13.4	0.25	17.0	16.8	0.22
Reggie Slater	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	10.0	13.5	-3.54	10.0	17.0	-7.03
Brandon Armstrong	20	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	12.3	13.8	-1.46	19.5	16.1	3.43
Lucious Harris	25	24	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-8	4	13.7	13.4	0.29	14.8	17.6	-2.76
Richard Jefferson	48	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-14	16	12.5	14.5	-1.95	17.0	16.7	0.34
Kerry Kittles	52	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-1	-10	13.8	13.1	0.74	16.7	17.1	-0.36
Keith Van Horn	50	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	7	-26	14.4	12.5	1.93	16.4	17.4	-0.98
Kenyon Martin	76	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	13.5	13.5	0.04	17.3	15.7	1.57
Jason Kidd	73	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.02	-18	6	-24	13.9	12.3	1.61	17.1	16.4	0.66
Todd MacCulloch	67	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.13	-24	12	-36	13.9	12.6	1.36	16.0	18.8	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, CHA 89	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 103, BOS 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
HOU 145, LAL 130	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%