NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	107		Excitement	4.4 [928]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CLE): +12.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.4 [1037]		LVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): -13.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	9	79%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	-0.00	0.06	16	76%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	19	58%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	11	32%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	12	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Trepagnier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	15	52%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.0	31.1	14.7	23.0	2.5	25.4	123.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +43.1%

CLE -5.4%

CLE -7.2%

DAL +23.7%

CLE -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	16.2	16.2	15.6	120.2	105.6	102.3
season	14.8	15.8		109.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.9	15.5	14.8	18.5	16.2
CLE	16.8	15.8	17.1	14.9	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	62	64	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.19	29	-16	45	14.8	19.4	-4.63	16.9	14.4	2.48
Dirk Nowitzki	59	59	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-11	35	16.1	16.4	-0.28	17.0	14.6	2.33
Michael Finley	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-6	25	16.6	13.3	3.32	16.8	11.3	5.50
Juwan Howard	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	0	13	16.1	16.4	-0.31	16.2	16.2	0.02
Shawn Bradley	49	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	16.2	16.2	-0.04	16.8	15.4	1.42
Greg Buckner	43	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	14	-15	16.0	16.4	-0.44	17.4	15.2	2.22
Adrian Griffin	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	14	-15	16.2	16.2	-0.03	14.3	17.2	-2.90
Darrick Martin	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	16.0	16.2	-0.20	10.9	16.7	-5.83
Donnell Harvey	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	14.6	16.3	-1.71	9.7	16.7	-7.02
Danny Manning	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	19	-25	17.6	16.0	1.60	13.5	16.5	-3.02
Tim Hardaway	32	31	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.15	-11	24	-35	18.6	14.8	3.77	14.7	17.0	-2.31

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	37	38	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-18	23	14.2	17.6	-3.36	17.2	15.4	1.75
Jeff Trepagnier	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	7.5	16.6	-9.09	12.0	16.4	-4.43
Trajan Langdon	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	10.9	16.7	-5.83	16.0	16.2	-0.20
Bimbo Coles	40	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-11	9	16.1	16.2	-0.05	17.6	15.0	2.58
Brian Skinner	41	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-12	11	14.8	17.4	-2.64	16.9	15.5	1.39
Jumaine Jones	54	55	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-13	13	16.6	15.5	1.05	16.9	15.1	1.77
Chris Mihm	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-11	9	14.7	16.7	-1.94	18.2	15.5	2.66
Michael Doleac	50	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	3	-19	17.2	14.9	2.33	15.3	17.3	-1.96
Wesley Person	63	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	4	-21	16.7	14.8	1.88	15.1	18.7	-3.57
Lamond Murray	58	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	7	-27	17.1	14.4	2.70	15.1	18.0	-2.94
Andre Miller	67	67	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	0.10	-24	11	-35	17.4	12.5	4.83	16.0	16.8	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, NOH 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 118, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 117, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%