inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 85 Excitement9.6 [72] MVPEddie Jones (MIA): +34.6%
Miami Heat 87 Comeback1.5 [711] LVPLaPhonso Ellis (MIA): -35.2%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.00686%0.094-0.09250%-0.01
Art Long-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Calvin Booth-0.090,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.0130%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Brent Barry-0.100,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.02-0.031032%-0.072-0.032100%0.01
Jerome James-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.01-0.00440%-0.024-0.082100%0.01
Earl Watson-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.09-0.011035%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Vin Baker-0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18-0.03-0.130.021551%-0.141-0.03967%-0.03
Gary Payton-0.270,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.07,0.07,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.44,-0.48,-0.27-0.12-0.15-0.002839%-0.032-0.235100%0.04
Rashard Lewis-0.310,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31-0.11-0.200.001532%-0.211-0.10450%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.350.350.030.29-0.021860%0.433-0.086100%0.05
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.00771%0.1000.0000%0.00
Sean Marks0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.03-0.00971%0.113-0.06333%-0.02
Sam Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.040.040.000.04-0.001055%0.112-0.0700%0.00
Tang Hamilton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.040.01667%0.033-0.10367%-0.01
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.11-0.02-0.02520%-0.053-0.0600%0.00
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32-0.32-0.14-0.21-0.031217%-0.311-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34-0.34-0.06-0.270.01440%-0.162-0.1820%-0.12
LaPhonso Ellis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35-0.35-0.15-0.22-0.02930%-0.224-0.1320%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.02.431.015.524.31.830.01.816.7147.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +69.2%
SEA -3.0%
SEA -13.2%
SEA -6.8%
MIA +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEAMIANBASEAMIANBA
this game16.315.615.685.087.9102.3
season16.016.5106.396.6
opponent15.815.898.2103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
SEA18.014.417.016.115.816.3
MIA13.915.615.716.617.615.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vladimir Radmanovic43400.00-0.500.50-0.3211-132414.018.0-3.9916.215.21.03
Earl Watson4847-0.03-0.470.44-0.3210-122216.216.4-0.2117.414.13.28
Jerome James3029-0.08-0.420.34-0.111-3416.416.30.1615.315.8-0.46
Calvin Booth3031-0.11-0.390.280.07-64-1017.016.00.9215.515.7-0.18
Art Long1212-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-53-813.216.7-3.5814.615.8-1.20
Gary Payton9695-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.45-1-1016.122.5-6.4415.420.5-5.07
Rashard Lewis8383-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-53-816.515.21.3115.019.1-4.09
Brent Barry8584-0.550.05-0.60-0.35-75-1216.614.52.1815.516.6-1.14
Vin Baker7374-0.570.07-0.65-0.34-86-1417.612.74.9015.815.30.48

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sam Mack38380.66-0.160.830.6311015.515.7-0.2614.017.8-3.78
Eddie Jones86870.64-0.140.790.389-71615.715.00.7316.912.24.79
Brian Grant57590.500.000.490.1711-92015.216.2-1.0017.914.03.97
Sean Marks40410.400.100.310.0213-112414.316.5-2.2418.314.93.43
Anthony Carter70700.390.110.280.303-1415.615.8-0.1717.513.53.98
LaPhonso Ellis71710.190.31-0.120.51-1113-2416.214.31.8814.820.0-5.18
Eddie House29300.110.39-0.280.14-13-415.815.60.1713.517.5-3.98
Tang Hamilton910-0.030.53-0.560.03-24-617.215.51.7413.416.6-3.24
Vladimir Stepania3029-0.090.59-0.680.17-911-2017.015.11.9113.817.3-3.51
Kendall Gill6565-0.280.78-1.05-0.16-46-1015.416.1-0.7317.314.52.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.74,0.74,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.75,0.7,0.76,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.86,0.97,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 116, MEM 1260.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.89,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.91,1,190.0%
OKC 95, MEM 980.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.46,0.32,0.63,0.91,0.92,189.9%
TOR 99, CHA 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.91,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.78,0.94,0.96,0.46,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.97,189.3%