NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	79		Excitement	8.0 [242]		MVP	Greg Anthony (CHI): +27.9%
Chicago Bulls	84		Comeback	5.1 [95]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -35.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shandon Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.03	9	60%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	8	35%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	11	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	59%	-0.00	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.13	0.00	6	53%	-0.09	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	7	45%	-0.04	4	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Allan Houston	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.22	-0.12	-0.01	11	22%	-0.11	6	-0.23	1	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35	-0.16	-0.19	-0.00	11	27%	-0.21	3	-0.15	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.29,0.28	0.28	0.09	0.20	0.01	10	74%	0.30	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	60%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	6	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	18	44%	-0.06	3	-0.10	3	33%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.21	-0.08	-0.15	-0.02	6	44%	-0.11	2	-0.10	6	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	31.0	15.5	25.1	1.6	31.9	132.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.9%

NYK -10.6%

NYK -7.3%

CHI +24.1%

NYK -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.6	86.8	91.3	102.3
season	15.9	15.6		99.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	17.5	15.7	14.0	15.6	15.7
CHI	15.3	14.9	16.7	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	62	65	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.06	13	-18	31	15.2	16.7	-1.46	16.6	14.0	2.57
Felton Spencer	21	23	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.06	6	-11	17	14.2	16.1	-1.91	16.3	15.7	0.65
Charlie Ward	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.01	-8	3	-11	15.9	15.5	0.41	16.5	15.4	1.17
Mark Jackson	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.5	15.9	-0.41	15.4	16.5	-1.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-1	-3	16.0	15.2	0.79	15.8	15.8	0.07
Kurt Thomas	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	2	-9	15.1	17.3	-2.27	14.8	18.5	-3.71
Othella Harrington	42	42	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.36	-5	0	-5	16.9	14.6	2.36	17.1	14.7	2.40
Shandon Anderson	47	46	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.42	-8	3	-11	16.2	15.0	1.19	16.2	15.5	0.72
Latrell Sprewell	73	73	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.35	-15	10	-25	15.7	15.6	0.13	14.9	19.3	-4.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	50	50	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.46	8	-3	11	15.9	15.8	0.10	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Marcus Fizer	39	41	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.43	7	-2	9	16.1	15.6	0.45	16.4	15.0	1.42
Greg Anthony	57	55	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	5	-5	15.4	16.5	-1.04	14.7	17.1	-2.31
Ron Mercer	87	87	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	0	5	15.6	18.8	-3.16	15.6	16.5	-0.88
Brad Miller	37	36	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	6	-7	16.7	15.2	1.44	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Kevin Ollie	40	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	0	5	16.7	15.1	1.65	17.0	14.6	2.39
Eddy Curry	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	0	5	15.8	15.8	-0.06	16.7	15.1	1.60
Tyson Chandler	12	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	4	-3	14.1	16.1	-1.99	14.0	15.9	-1.89
Dalibor Bagaric	12	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	5	-5	15.0	15.9	-0.94	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Charles Oakley	53	50	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	7	-9	15.6	16.1	-0.45	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Fred Hoiberg	42	41	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	8	-11	15.8	15.9	-0.10	15.8	15.6	0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 91, MIL 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.85,1	92.3%
MIL 99, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.96,1	91.2%
SAS 93, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.96,1	91.1%