NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	76		Excitement	4.6 [886]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +8.1%
Washington Wizards	90		Comeback	5.9 [353]		LVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): -15.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Bowman	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	17	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Damone Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	12	38%	-0.10	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.03	0.04	11	52%	-0.05	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	8	41%	-0.05	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	18	66%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	8	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	2	117%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	-0.06	12	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	9	37%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	4	25%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	21	39%	-0.11	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	27.3	17.6	26.5	2.6	33.3	135.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +21.1%

WAS +15.1%

PHI -5.7%

WAS +18.9%

WAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	17.8	15.2	15.6	87.4	102.3	102.3
season	15.9	16.5		99.3	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.6		103.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	17.9	19.8	18.9	17.8
WAS	16.5	15.7	13.0	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	10	10	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-15	16	17.1	17.9	-0.76	18.1	14.8	3.32
Damone Brown	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	11.8	18.1	-6.33	16.6	15.1	1.53
Matt Harpring	66	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-3	-8	18.1	16.7	1.45	15.5	14.2	1.27
Raja Bell	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-12	10	16.5	18.9	-2.38	15.3	15.0	0.25
Derrick Coleman	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	0	-14	18.5	14.8	3.74	15.3	14.8	0.47
Vonteego Cummings	32	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-11	8	18.3	17.5	0.81	14.3	15.7	-1.46
Dikembe Mutombo	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-4	-6	17.1	20.6	-3.50	15.2	15.1	0.05
Speedy Claxton	72	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	4	-22	18.6	14.0	4.56	15.0	15.7	-0.65
Corie Blount	23	25	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-7	0	18.2	17.6	0.61	14.0	15.6	-1.62
Ira Bowman	46	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.11	-12	-2	-10	17.3	18.3	-0.99	15.1	15.2	-0.17

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Laettner	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	-0.15	27	-13	40	15.1	15.4	-0.37	18.9	14.5	4.38
Richard Hamilton	71	70	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.08	17	-3	20	14.9	16.4	-1.48	18.2	16.2	1.98
Chris Whitney	51	50	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	5	4	15.5	14.8	0.69	17.9	17.6	0.21
Popeye Jones	58	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	5	4	15.3	14.9	0.39	16.9	19.2	-2.37
Michael Jordan	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.09	14	0	14	15.1	15.2	-0.07	17.9	17.2	0.69
Courtney Alexander	58	56	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	9	-4	14.9	15.6	-0.67	17.2	18.7	-1.51
Tyrone Nesby	31	33	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	10	-6	15.2	15.1	0.05	18.4	17.4	0.96
Bobby Simmons	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	16	-18	7.0	15.3	-8.25	11.0	17.8	-6.85
Jahidi White	36	37	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.09	-13	27	-40	15.9	14.7	1.19	16.5	18.7	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 94, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.71,0.64,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DAL 105, DEN 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 96, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	94.0%