inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 83 Excitement2.7 [1168] MVPJamal Mashburn (CHH): +9.4%
Charlotte Hornets 106 Comeback1.1 [1197] LVPJason Terry (ATL): -10.1%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Maloney0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.02875%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03657%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Hanno Mottola0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.03-0.010.02757%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dion Glover0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.031450%0.012-0.01450%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.020,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.01-0.041037%-0.011-0.01425%-0.04
Brevin Knight-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.01844%-0.0300.002100%0.00
Cal Bowdler-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.02643%-0.022-0.012100%0.00
DerMarr Johnson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.01850%-0.054-0.022100%0.00
Nazr Mohammed-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.17-0.00-0.09812%-0.054-0.0400%0.00
Jason Terry-0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.01-0.011025%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Mashburn0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.010.012063%0.111-0.02989%0.02
Elden Campbell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.01-0.01775%0.101-0.012100%0.01
Baron Davis0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.00-0.031069%0.082-0.01650%-0.01
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.00-0.06440%0.0400.0020%-0.00
Eddie Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02856%0.032-0.022100%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eldridge Recasner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hersey Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.11-0.01-0.08342%0.013-0.04650%-0.01
Derrick Coleman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.020.000.06662%-0.021-0.021100%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02533%-0.032-0.0420%-0.02
David Wesley0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.14-0.00-0.071225%-0.033-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.426.415.823.22.426.5119.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHH +32.7%
CHH +6.8%
CHH +11.2%
ATL -1.8%
CHH +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHHNBAATLCHHNBA
this game14.613.915.583.0103.9100.9
season15.415.896.099.7
opponent15.615.197.0101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL15.015.414.513.714.6
CHH13.313.415.513.513.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cal Bowdler34360.00-0.500.50-0.093-262914.214.8-0.5815.413.12.26
Matt Maloney6265-0.13-0.370.24-0.130-232314.315.1-0.7814.612.71.88
Hanno Mottola3737-0.18-0.320.140.05-8-15714.814.50.2614.413.60.71
Alan Henderson3032-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-171114.914.50.4013.913.90.01
Dion Glover6464-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-12114.315.2-0.8514.413.01.40
Lorenzen Wright5353-0.25-0.250.000.19-15-8-714.814.50.2914.213.60.56
DerMarr Johnson6265-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.06-7-16914.514.9-0.4014.013.70.27
Nazr Mohammed5859-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-21-2-1914.315.1-0.7812.316.1-3.87
Brevin Knight4847-0.44-0.06-0.390.29-252-2715.413.91.4913.514.3-0.77
Jason Terry5252-0.45-0.05-0.400.28-252-2715.014.20.8312.914.9-2.04

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
P.J. Brown57560.55-0.050.59-0.2728-53313.814.0-0.1415.014.10.86
Baron Davis75740.51-0.010.51-0.2325-22713.814.2-0.3914.814.10.73
David Wesley62600.500.000.49-0.182302312.615.9-3.2514.514.8-0.34
Jamal Mashburn70680.480.020.46-0.2224-12513.714.4-0.7814.914.10.77
Jamaal Magloire56520.260.240.020.05716-913.714.1-0.3814.414.9-0.49
Elden Campbell40420.240.26-0.02-0.23167914.113.80.3315.014.30.74
Scott Burrell17170.020.48-0.460.05-124-2515.513.61.8814.514.7-0.18
Eddie Robinson55550.010.49-0.48-0.02122-2115.112.52.5414.614.6-0.00
Otis Thorpe15150.000.50-0.500.00023-2313.314.0-0.7413.714.8-1.12
Eldridge Recasner990.000.50-0.500.00023-2312.714.0-1.3513.714.7-1.05
Hersey Hawkins1817-0.010.51-0.520.08-326-2915.213.61.6013.914.8-0.82
Derrick Coleman3635-0.050.55-0.590.10-528-3314.313.70.6214.314.8-0.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 85, NJN 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.76,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
ATL 117, MEM 1310.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%
ORL 87, MIL 1040.5,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.0%