NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	4.4 [913]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +15.2%
Charlotte Hornets	88		Comeback	1.1 [1207]		LVP	David Wesley (CHH): -16.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Soumaila Samake	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	43%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Stepania	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamel Thomas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	9	30%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	44%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	9	76%	0.15	1	0.00	11	91%	0.04
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	12	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	78%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	10	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	0.00	-0.04	11	35%	-0.10	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.06
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.29	-0.00	-0.13	13	0%	-0.11	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	30.0	15.4	25.5	1.7	28.3	125.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +22.4%

CHH +10.2%

CHH +3.0%

CHH +12.3%

CHH +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHH	NBA	NJN	CHH	NBA
this game	17.4	13.9	15.5	84.8	95.7	100.9
season	15.5	15.8		97.8	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.1		97.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.6	16.6	17.3	17.3	17.4
CHH	14.1	12.7	15.4	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Eschmeyer	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-13	16	18.6	16.8	1.79	15.5	13.0	2.55
Soumaila Samake	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-13	16	17.1	17.5	-0.36	15.3	13.7	1.58
Vladimir Stepania	10	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-13	16	16.9	17.5	-0.59	14.1	13.8	0.23
Doug Overton	33	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-6	2	19.6	16.2	3.45	15.0	13.2	1.79
Johnny Newman	59	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	17.9	16.6	1.23	13.8	14.1	-0.33
Eddie Gill	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-8	6	16.1	19.1	-3.05	13.2	14.7	-1.54
Jamel Thomas	45	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-4	-2	16.8	18.1	-1.31	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Lucious Harris	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	17.9	16.7	1.17	14.0	13.7	0.33
Keith Van Horn	67	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	17.5	17.2	0.36	14.0	13.5	0.56
Aaron Williams	50	48	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.04	-16	6	-22	16.7	18.2	-1.50	12.4	15.5	-3.02

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.19	8	2	6	14.0	13.4	0.65	18.1	15.3	2.77
Eddie Robinson	57	57	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	4	2	13.6	14.3	-0.75	16.4	19.1	-2.73
P.J. Brown	54	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	0	10	14.0	13.8	0.20	18.0	16.6	1.43
Jamal Mashburn	69	71	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-1	12	13.9	13.8	0.13	17.6	16.7	0.92
Elden Campbell	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	14.4	12.5	1.93	17.8	16.6	1.23
Jamaal Magloire	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.05	5	5	0	12.5	14.4	-1.93	16.6	17.8	-1.23
Scott Burrell	23	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	11	-12	13.8	13.9	-0.13	16.7	17.6	-0.92
David Wesley	54	53	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	8	-6	14.0	13.7	0.38	18.4	16.1	2.29
Otis Thorpe	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	8	-6	13.8	13.9	-0.14	16.6	17.7	-1.04
Eldridge Recasner	18	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	8	-6	13.6	13.9	-0.33	14.6	18.2	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 105, POR 122	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DET 94, PHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 82, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1	96.1%