NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	75		Excitement	2.4 [1198]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +8.0%
Indiana Pacers	95		Comeback	1.0 [1211]		LVP	Stromile Swift (VAN): -6.2%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Strickland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.14	-0.00	-0.15	9	29%	0.01	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.01
Kevin Edwards	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	3	42%	-0.02	1	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.21	-0.00	-0.18	12	29%	0.01	7	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.08	14	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	18	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	6	93%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	89%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	15	50%	0.02	3	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	-0.00	-0.12	9	58%	0.04	7	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.00	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tyus Edney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	13	43%	0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	7	19%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.3	27.7	15.6	31.2	2.3	25.6	126.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +33.6%

IND +3.4%

IND +6.2%

IND +6.1%

IND +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	IND	NBA	VAN	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	15.5	78.9	97.9	100.9
season	15.6	15.9		97.4	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.1		99.9	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	14.7	16.0	13.7	14.2	14.6
IND	18.7	14.0	13.0	16.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Edwards	1	2	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-23	26	6.0	14.7	-8.70	3.0	15.6	-12.64
Grant Long	43	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.33	7	-27	34	13.8	15.3	-1.50	15.1	15.6	-0.55
Damon Jones	48	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-25	30	13.9	15.4	-1.53	15.1	15.7	-0.54
Tony Massenburg	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.43	-21	1	-22	14.9	14.4	0.53	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Bryant Reeves	17	16	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-11	2	17.3	14.0	3.27	17.1	15.0	2.09
Erick Strickland	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-21	22	13.7	16.2	-2.51	14.5	16.9	-2.49
Stromile Swift	66	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-8	-4	15.2	13.2	2.02	15.9	14.1	1.77
Mike Bibby	59	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.44	-27	7	-34	15.3	13.6	1.70	15.7	14.8	0.97
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.39	-27	7	-34	14.5	14.9	-0.40	15.6	14.7	0.95
Michael Dickerson	75	75	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.08	-20	0	-20	14.7	14.2	0.46	15.8	14.0	1.73

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	48	48	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	34	-14	48	15.7	15.1	0.56	16.4	12.8	3.57
Jalen Rose	56	54	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.37	29	-9	38	15.6	15.0	0.62	15.6	13.4	2.19
Jermaine O'Neal	41	43	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.25	22	-2	24	15.7	15.1	0.61	16.6	12.9	3.69
Al Harrington	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	7	6	15.8	13.8	1.99	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Austin Croshere	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.06	12	8	4	14.7	16.4	-1.71	13.7	16.1	-2.41
Travis Best	59	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	21	-22	15.1	15.8	-0.71	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Sam Perkins	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.35	19	1	18	15.4	15.4	0.02	17.1	13.7	3.35
Jeff Foster	54	52	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	25	-30	14.9	16.0	-1.03	13.3	16.2	-2.96
Jonathan Bender	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	30	-40	15.2	15.5	-0.27	12.8	15.7	-2.86
Tyus Edney	29	27	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.38	-13	33	-46	15.8	15.2	0.59	13.2	15.2	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
UTA 72, LAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
PHI 73, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%