NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	3.6 [1042]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.4%
Dallas Mavericks	109		Comeback	1.0 [1084]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -11.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	23	60%	0.04	4	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.00	0.07	21	53%	-0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	13	39%	-0.07	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.15	0.00	0.01	20	71%	0.17	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.00	-0.04	19	64%	0.12	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	16	53%	0.07	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.00	-0.03	14	34%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.3	29.1	15.5	26.5	2.4	32.2	130.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +37.3%

PHX -7.0%

DAL +6.1%

DAL +7.3%

DAL +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	17.1	15.5	104.2	114.7	100.9
season	14.9	15.2		97.7	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		101.2	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	13.9	14.4	9.6	13.3
DAL	14.8	16.8	16.9	19.6	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-11	12	12.1	13.4	-1.21	18.3	17.0	1.33
Jake Tsakalidis	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-6	2	13.9	13.2	0.70	14.6	17.5	-2.83
Vinny Del Negro	25	26	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.22	5	-15	20	13.5	13.2	0.35	18.4	16.6	1.83
Rodney Rogers	7	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-6	2	15.4	13.1	2.34	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Tony Delk	53	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	11.9	15.0	-3.03	17.6	16.3	1.34
Shawn Marion	80	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-9	8	12.7	16.3	-3.57	17.4	14.8	2.66
Mario Elie	81	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-1	-8	13.4	12.2	1.23	16.9	18.1	-1.20
Tom Gugliotta	41	38	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	6	-22	14.9	12.0	2.88	15.6	18.0	-2.46
Clifford Robinson	79	81	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-3	-4	13.3	13.0	0.32	17.3	15.6	1.74
Jason Kidd	88	88	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	1	-12	13.4	12.1	1.21	17.0	18.3	-1.33

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	81	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-9	28	17.0	17.3	-0.27	13.6	11.4	2.21
Dirk Nowitzki	91	90	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	0	10	17.1	15.7	1.36	13.4	10.0	3.44
Steve Nash	77	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-3	16	16.3	20.2	-3.84	13.6	11.8	1.83
Juwan Howard	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	2	6	16.9	18.1	-1.28	13.3	13.1	0.22
Greg Buckner	36	38	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	0	10	17.4	16.8	0.63	13.8	12.9	0.92
Shawn Bradley	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	16.5	17.4	-0.85	14.5	12.5	1.98
Eduardo Najera	17	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	8	-6	17.4	17.0	0.44	12.6	13.4	-0.82
Howard Eisley	44	43	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.38	-12	22	-34	18.6	15.7	2.95	10.7	15.4	-4.69
Vernon Maxwell	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	13	-16	16.9	17.1	-0.16	12.0	13.4	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 71, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
DAL 84, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
NJN 79, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%