NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	86		Excitement	3.6 [1044]		MVP	Johnny Newman (NJN): +8.8%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	1.0 [1241]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NJN): -25.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	17	59%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Sherman Douglas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	8	47%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.03	2	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Soumaila Samake	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	48%	-0.02	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	9	25%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	-0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.21,-0.2,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.18	-0.04	0.03	20	43%	-0.09	7	-0.17	6	100%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.14	10	42%	0.05	4	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	63%	0.07	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Shawnelle Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	5	8%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	21	55%	-0.03	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	27.4	16.7	25.3	2.7	40.2	140.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.1%

SAS +2.7%

NJN -2.8%

SAS +14.3%

SAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	15.0	16.0	15.5	91.5	103.3	100.9
season	15.5	15.9		97.8	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		96.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.2	16.4	17.5	11.3	15.0
SAS	16.1	14.9	16.0	16.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	40	40	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.48	17	-26	43	13.2	16.3	-3.05	15.4	16.4	-1.07
Aaron Williams	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.10	-4	-5	1	15.1	14.9	0.18	17.8	14.7	3.11
Stephen Jackson	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-18	27	13.4	15.7	-2.29	13.8	17.1	-3.28
Soumaila Samake	56	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-1	-7	15.5	14.2	1.33	14.7	18.0	-3.31
Keith Van Horn	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-13	17	13.8	16.3	-2.52	15.8	16.1	-0.30
Evan Eschmeyer	54	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-8	7	14.6	15.5	-0.96	15.4	16.7	-1.23
Lucious Harris	59	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.17	-21	12	-33	16.1	13.2	2.91	16.2	15.7	0.51
Johnny Newman	74	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.13	-21	12	-33	15.8	12.0	3.75	16.8	13.3	3.49
Stephon Marbury	72	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.06	-20	11	-31	15.6	13.2	2.37	16.9	13.3	3.57

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	62	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.10	23	-14	37	14.1	19.9	-5.87	15.8	13.2	2.54
David Robinson	47	48	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	-10	29	15.1	16.9	-1.87	16.2	13.8	2.38
Tim Duncan	70	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.24	24	-15	39	15.2	18.5	-3.31	15.8	12.2	3.62
Terry Porter	35	38	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.03	14	-5	19	16.4	15.7	0.73	16.6	13.9	2.65
Danny Ferry	51	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.11	16	-7	23	16.2	15.7	0.49	15.7	14.0	1.71
Malik Rose	19	19	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	8	-7	16.9	15.7	1.16	13.1	15.5	-2.44
Avery Johnson	57	56	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	14	-19	15.7	16.4	-0.73	13.9	16.6	-2.65
Samaki Walker	50	50	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.40	-12	21	-33	16.6	15.2	1.36	14.0	16.2	-2.22
Antonio Daniels	41	40	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	18	-27	17.3	14.9	2.33	13.6	16.0	-2.35
Shawnelle Scott	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	19	-29	15.7	16.0	-0.35	11.2	15.3	-4.10
Steve Kerr	19	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.37	-16	25	-41	21.6	14.5	7.12	13.2	15.4	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 95, UTA 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 97, SAC 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.69,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
BOS 95, SEA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.95,1,1,0.99,1	96.1%