NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	4.9 [824]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +19.5%
Phoenix Suns	101		Comeback	3.8 [89]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -17.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.03	-0.03	25	67%	0.27	3	-0.07	13	100%	0.05
Bryant Stith	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	7	94%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Randy Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	23	43%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	18	72%	0.18	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.03
Daniel Santiago	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	7	61%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.00	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	11	33%	-0.09	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.05	0.05	19	46%	-0.09	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	25.2	14.6	25.2	2.5	34.6	127.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +36.3%

BOS +9.7%

PHX -18.2%

BOS +23.9%

PHX -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.6	15.5	108.2	104.1	100.9
season	15.1	14.9		99.7	97.7
opponent	15.4	15.4		96.2	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.0	14.5	13.6	18.5	15.1
PHX	15.5	14.9	15.2	12.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	74	76	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.24	21	-17	38	14.1	18.3	-4.24	15.0	13.4	1.58
Antoine Walker	87	85	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.28	7	-3	10	15.3	13.2	2.09	14.6	14.6	0.04
Mark Blount	43	43	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-8	20	15.3	14.9	0.41	16.9	12.8	4.11
Bryant Stith	51	50	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	15.3	14.8	0.51	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Adrian Griffin	19	19	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	-11	26	12.4	15.7	-3.30	14.8	14.6	0.21
Milt Palacio	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.30	0	4	-4	14.6	15.6	-1.03	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Randy Brown	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	0	4	15.6	14.6	1.03	14.8	14.4	0.41
Walter McCarty	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	10	-16	14.0	15.8	-1.78	13.3	15.6	-2.25
Vitaly Potapenko	27	26	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.16	-14	18	-32	17.1	14.3	2.77	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Eric Williams	47	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.28	-20	24	-44	16.6	13.6	2.96	13.3	15.9	-2.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	65	65	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.42	16	-20	36	14.4	15.1	-0.76	15.8	13.6	2.16
Chris Dudley	18	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-3	2	15.1	14.5	0.54	13.9	15.3	-1.37
Daniel Santiago	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.5	14.6	-0.14	12.4	15.5	-3.17
Jake Tsakalidis	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-5	6	17.1	13.9	3.24	16.5	14.6	1.84
Vinny Del Negro	6	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	2	-8	16.0	14.5	1.47	17.1	14.9	2.23
Rodney Rogers	54	52	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-1	-2	14.8	14.4	0.40	13.9	16.4	-2.52
Tony Delk	77	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.33	4	-8	12	14.1	16.5	-2.43	15.4	14.0	1.37
Mario Elie	20	21	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	4	-12	16.5	14.1	2.43	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Jason Kidd	91	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-6	8	14.5	16.0	-1.47	14.9	17.1	-2.23
Clifford Robinson	49	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.20	-13	9	-22	13.9	15.4	-1.50	15.7	14.4	1.38
Shawn Marion	68	69	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	6	-16	14.3	15.3	-0.99	15.1	14.9	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 111, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
DET 103, CLE 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
GSW 112, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%