NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	81		Excitement	6.8 [443]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (GSW): +17.3%
Houston Rockets	86		Comeback	2.4 [807]		LVP	Chris Porter (GSW): -28.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.02	25	61%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.08
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul McPherson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.02	7	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.02	10	38%	-0.06	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	13	31%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	7	56%	0.00	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.03
Chris Porter	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	11	39%	-0.12	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.08	-0.01	8	69%	0.18	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	17	63%	0.17	6	-0.16	4	100%	0.05
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	59%	0.12	6	-0.20	6	100%	0.04
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	8	12%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	10	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	9	25%	-0.13	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	25.5	15.3	23.5	1.8	35.0	126.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.3%

GSW -3.5%

GSW -1.3%

HOU +8.5%

HOU +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.5	84.4	90.5	100.9
season	15.0	16.3		95.3	104.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.0	13.2	18.0	13.2	14.7
HOU	13.8	13.4	16.3	19.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	56	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-10	15	14.6	14.8	-0.24	15.8	15.0	0.78
Chris Porter	68	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.32	6	-11	17	14.9	14.1	0.80	16.2	13.7	2.46
Antawn Jamison	86	86	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-9	13	14.1	19.8	-5.68	15.4	15.6	-0.11
Adam Keefe	15	16	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	7	-19	14.6	14.7	-0.13	13.5	15.8	-2.35
Paul McPherson	11	10	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	6	-17	12.4	15.0	-2.65	12.2	15.8	-3.64
Vonteego Cummings	88	88	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-8	11	14.6	16.1	-1.55	15.9	10.3	5.58
Erick Dampier	38	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	3	-11	15.4	14.2	1.18	15.4	15.5	-0.16
Bob Sura	75	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	1	-7	15.0	13.6	1.46	15.0	17.1	-2.17
Corie Blount	43	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	1	-7	15.4	14.2	1.20	15.5	15.4	0.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	58	59	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-6	17	16.2	14.3	1.94	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Moochie Norris	37	40	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-3	11	17.0	14.4	2.58	13.6	15.5	-1.94
Carlos Rogers	57	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-1	7	15.8	15.0	0.75	13.6	16.3	-2.74
Steve Francis	86	87	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	1	3	15.2	17.9	-2.69	14.6	16.2	-1.67
Cuttino Mobley	80	79	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	8	-11	15.7	14.2	1.49	14.8	14.1	0.72
Walt Williams	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-4	13	14.0	16.1	-2.17	13.8	15.1	-1.32
Shandon Anderson	52	52	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	8	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.45	16.2	13.0	3.20
Kelvin Cato	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	5	-5	12.2	15.8	-3.57	15.5	14.6	0.88
Maurice Taylor	45	45	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	19	-33	14.3	16.5	-2.13	14.8	14.6	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 83, DAL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.2%
PHX 109, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.7%
GSW 95, UTA 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%