NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.6 [680]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +19.1%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.4 [996]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -20.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.02	19	68%	0.23	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Penberthy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	31%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	9	61%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	16	54%	0.04	7	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	18	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	44%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.05	-0.01	16	19%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	27.4	18.7	23.1	2.4	36.5	133.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.2%

VAN -3.7%

LAL +24.9%

VAN -20.1%

LAL +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	VAN	NBA	LAL	VAN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.5	105.4	95.7	100.9
season	15.6	15.6		106.8	97.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.4	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	15.3	15.7	16.6	15.2
VAN	17.3	17.5	15.0	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	79	77	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-4	18	14.3	20.5	-6.21	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Kobe Bryant	76	75	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.03	15	-5	20	14.5	18.5	-3.97	16.2	14.6	1.63
Rick Fox	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	2	6	14.4	17.5	-3.08	16.1	15.5	0.54
Shaquille O'Neal	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	-4	18	15.5	14.0	1.50	16.2	14.7	1.55
Brian Shaw	58	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	5	0	14.7	16.1	-1.38	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Isaiah Rider	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	8	-6	17.5	14.4	3.08	15.5	16.1	-0.54
Tyronn Lue	18	17	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	8	-6	14.8	15.3	-0.56	13.4	16.5	-3.14
Mark Madsen	25	24	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	12	-14	17.8	14.3	3.52	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Mike Penberthy	23	22	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	11	-12	18.0	14.3	3.69	16.5	15.7	0.83
Robert Horry	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.19	-6	16	-22	13.7	15.4	-1.73	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Devean George	11	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	11	-12	17.9	14.9	3.04	17.8	15.7	2.16

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf	26	26	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-17	24	16.7	15.6	1.14	17.4	14.4	3.00
Tony Massenburg	23	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.13	5	-15	20	18.0	15.2	2.78	17.7	14.4	3.29
Grant Long	44	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-7	4	16.4	15.5	0.95	13.8	16.5	-2.63
Erick Strickland	47	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-13	16	15.8	16.1	-0.30	16.3	14.0	2.28
Stromile Swift	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-6	2	16.1	15.8	0.28	17.0	14.4	2.67
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.12	-13	3	-16	16.2	14.8	1.42	15.2	15.3	-0.05
Bryant Reeves	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	5	-20	15.2	18.0	-2.78	14.4	17.7	-3.29
Michael Dickerson	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	4	-18	15.4	18.7	-3.37	14.1	20.3	-6.20
Mike Bibby	72	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.06	-16	6	-22	15.6	17.0	-1.39	15.0	16.0	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.34,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%
CLE 117, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.3%
MEM 103, LAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.3%