NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	106		Excitement	4.5 [888]		MVP	Mike Penberthy (LAL): +15.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	113		Comeback	1.0 [1205]		LVP	Brevin Knight (ATL): -9.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	14	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Dion Glover	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	6	79%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	6	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	47%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	23	53%	0.03	5	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	4	114%	0.16	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.00	15	69%	0.12	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	21	59%	0.11	3	-0.06	9	44%	-0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	14	50%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	9	30%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.6	29.1	15.4	24.8	1.8	28.2	122.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.5%

ATL -16.4%

LAL +10.8%

LAL +4.6%

LAL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAL	NBA	ATL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.0	15.5	105.0	111.9	100.9
season	15.4	15.6		96.0	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		101.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.3	15.0	11.6	13.0	13.5
LAL	14.5	13.2	17.2	15.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pepe Sanchez	7	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-5	3	12.1	13.6	-1.44	12.6	15.2	-2.64
Nazr Mohammed	27	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.28	6	-13	19	10.7	14.5	-3.80	16.3	14.6	1.72
DerMarr Johnson	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-5	3	15.8	13.0	2.74	16.6	14.7	1.87
Cal Bowdler	12	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-2	-3	10.7	13.9	-3.10	11.2	15.6	-4.38
Alan Henderson	56	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	15.5	11.0	4.48	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Dion Glover	28	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.3	12.8	2.54	17.1	14.2	2.92
Lorenzen Wright	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	1	-9	15.2	10.7	4.51	15.2	14.7	0.55
Jason Terry	91	91	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-9	11	13.0	18.1	-5.12	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Hanno Mottola	45	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-8	9	11.0	15.5	-4.48	15.6	14.6	0.99
Chris Crawford	84	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	13.0	15.8	-2.74	14.7	16.6	-1.87
Brevin Knight	76	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	2	-11	13.5	13.3	0.22	14.6	16.3	-1.71

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Penberthy	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-3	13	16.3	13.1	3.24	13.2	14.0	-0.84
Shaquille O'Neal	76	74	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-6	19	14.8	15.6	-0.81	14.5	10.8	3.64
Devean George	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	2	3	16.8	14.0	2.86	13.5	13.5	0.07
Robert Horry	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	15.6	14.5	1.13	12.7	14.2	-1.48
Brian Shaw	67	66	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	14.4	16.2	-1.77	13.3	13.9	-0.57
Horace Grant	51	51	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	2	3	14.5	15.6	-1.13	14.2	12.7	1.48
Isaiah Rider	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	4	-1	14.6	15.4	-0.81	14.9	12.1	2.88
Rick Fox	63	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	5	-3	14.0	16.8	-2.86	13.5	13.5	-0.07
Tyronn Lue	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	11	-15	14.3	15.3	-1.00	11.8	14.0	-2.17
Greg Foster	5	6	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	6	-5	11.6	15.2	-3.61	12.2	13.6	-1.40
Mark Madsen	20	21	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.24	-7	14	-21	16.6	14.6	2.02	10.4	14.3	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 89, UTA 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DET 76, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%