NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	84		Excitement	8.0 [218]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +15.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	85		Comeback	11.1 [191]		LVP	Fred Hoiberg (CHI): -28.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Khalid El-Amin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.03	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.03
Elton Brand	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	0.01	17	39%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	-0.28	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.28	0.01	-0.28	0.01	15	56%	-0.13	2	-0.15	6	100%	0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	7	81%	0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.09
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.04	0.13	-0.00	12	48%	0.14	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Chris Gatling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	8	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.13	-0.00	9	59%	-0.08	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	29.0	15.6	24.2	1.6	33.2	131.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.1%

CHI -10.9%

CLE +10.2%

CLE +4.4%

CLE +16.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	17.6	15.1	15.5	95.5	96.6	100.9
season	16.4	15.3		95.2	98.4
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.4	15.9	17.1	19.4	17.6
CLE	13.7	14.7	15.6	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	57	59	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-9	17	17.7	17.4	0.32	15.5	14.3	1.18
Corey Benjamin	26	24	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-1	1	18.5	17.2	1.30	15.4	15.0	0.43
Khalid El-Amin	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	12	-25	20.1	16.5	3.64	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Metta World Peace	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.57	11	-12	23	16.6	22.5	-5.92	15.4	13.6	1.81
Bryce Drew	71	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.54	4	-5	9	17.3	19.1	-1.78	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Elton Brand	78	78	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	17.5	18.7	-1.21	14.9	16.4	-1.46
Fred Hoiberg	67	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.46	-5	4	-9	17.7	17.3	0.38	15.2	14.7	0.47
Marcus Fizer	41	39	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.42	-12	11	-23	17.7	17.5	0.20	14.8	15.3	-0.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	50	51	1.04	-0.54	1.59	0.46	20	-19	39	15.2	15.0	0.18	18.9	15.9	2.99
Chris Gatling	50	51	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.49	14	-13	27	15.9	14.1	1.85	17.7	17.6	0.10
Wesley Person	27	27	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.48	12	-11	23	16.0	14.7	1.30	19.6	16.8	2.79
Clar. Weatherspoon	75	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	0	1	14.9	16.0	-1.05	17.4	18.9	-1.58
Andre Miller	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.30	-1	2	-3	15.2	14.9	0.25	17.3	18.3	-0.91
Bimbo Coles	28	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	-1	3	14.9	15.2	-0.25	18.3	17.3	0.91
Robert Traylor	13	15	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	1	-1	16.0	14.9	1.05	18.9	17.4	1.58
Trajan Langdon	46	47	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.13	-1	2	-3	14.6	15.6	-1.03	17.4	17.9	-0.52
Lamond Murray	19	18	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	12	-23	14.9	15.2	-0.26	16.6	17.9	-1.34
Chris Mihm	38	37	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.02	-13	14	-27	14.1	15.9	-1.85	17.6	17.7	-0.10
Cedric Henderson	34	33	-0.46	0.96	-1.43	0.06	-18	19	-37	15.1	15.1	-0.07	15.0	19.2	-4.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.49,0.32,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.37,0.57,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 105, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.27,0.41,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.85,1	92.3%
DEN 113, OKC 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.36,0.43,0.91,1	92.0%
ORL 98, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.47,0.34,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	91.6%