NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	101		Excitement	3.0 [1144]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +12.5%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	1.0 [1158]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -9.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	0.00	0.07	6	83%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	62%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	14	47%	0.00	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	58%	-0.02	2	-0.04	12	92%	0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	83%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.04	13	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	17	61%	0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	13	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	9	75%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	32.2	16.4	27.3	1.7	27.2	130.2
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +35.7%

LAC -1.1%

ORL +0.2%

ORL +14.7%

ORL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	16.8	13.7	15.5	106.3	121.3	100.9
season	16.1	14.6		99.5	101.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	19.5	16.6	16.0	15.1	16.8
ORL	12.7	12.7	12.1	17.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	47	46	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-19	25	13.5	20.0	-6.51	14.5	12.9	1.60
Cherokee Parks	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	-5	-3	21.1	15.7	5.41	12.0	14.1	-2.11
Sean Rooks	31	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-8	3	14.4	17.9	-3.55	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Eric Piatkowski	39	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	-2	-9	18.7	15.4	3.33	12.4	14.6	-2.26
Quentin Richardson	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.27	2	-15	17	15.1	18.0	-2.87	14.3	13.2	1.03
Darius Miles	70	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-14	15	15.5	20.2	-4.70	14.4	11.8	2.62
Corey Maggette	51	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-9	5	14.9	19.0	-4.05	14.7	12.5	2.18
Michael Olowokandi	64	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	17.9	14.4	3.55	13.8	13.5	0.27
Jeff McInnis	48	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	6	-25	20.0	13.5	6.51	12.9	14.5	-1.60
Lamar Odom	65	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	6	-25	18.2	13.8	4.40	13.1	15.0	-1.96

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	73	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.08	22	-9	31	12.8	16.8	-3.97	17.6	14.0	3.51
Bo Outlaw	56	56	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.18	24	-11	35	12.1	15.9	-3.80	17.9	15.2	2.71
Mike Miller	67	67	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	12.9	15.6	-2.63	17.1	15.9	1.21
Tracy McGrady	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.12	19	-6	25	13.2	15.8	-2.62	18.2	10.1	8.11
Michael Doleac	25	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	10	-7	16.0	12.8	3.21	15.6	17.2	-1.60
Andrew DeClercq	33	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.09	7	6	1	11.7	14.8	-3.10	19.2	15.4	3.78
Monty Williams	34	35	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.23	-5	18	-23	15.6	12.6	3.08	14.8	17.9	-3.09
John Amaechi	34	33	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	12	-11	14.1	13.5	0.59	15.9	17.2	-1.33
Pat Garrity	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	15	-17	14.8	12.9	1.90	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Don Reid	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	19.4	13.4	6.04	9.0	17.2	-8.21
Cory Alexander	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	19.4	13.4	6.04	9.0	17.2	-8.21
Troy Hudson	21	21	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	22	-31	16.8	12.8	3.97	14.0	17.6	-3.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 81, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
TOR 109, WAS 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%